Applied Optoelectronics (Germany) Technical Analysis

A59 Stock   37.20  0.60  1.64%   
As of the 2nd of February, Applied Optoelectronics shows the Downside Deviation of 7.76, risk adjusted performance of 0.087, and Mean Deviation of 5.99. Applied Optoelectronics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Applied Optoelectronics Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Applied, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Applied
  
Applied Optoelectronics' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Applied Optoelectronics' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Applied Optoelectronics represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Applied Optoelectronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Applied Optoelectronics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Applied Optoelectronics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Applied Optoelectronics.
0.00
11/04/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/02/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Applied Optoelectronics on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Applied Optoelectronics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Applied Optoelectronics over 90 days. Applied Optoelectronics is related to or competes with Sunwoda Electronic, STMicroelectronics, Universal Electronics, MGIC INVESTMENT, METHODE ELECTRONICS, Elma Electronic, and CapitaLand Investment. More

Applied Optoelectronics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Applied Optoelectronics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Applied Optoelectronics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Applied Optoelectronics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Applied Optoelectronics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Applied Optoelectronics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Applied Optoelectronics historical prices to predict the future Applied Optoelectronics' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Applied Optoelectronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.2437.2045.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6531.6139.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.5739.5347.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7732.0337.28
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Applied Optoelectronics February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators

Applied Optoelectronics Backtested Returns

Applied Optoelectronics appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Applied Optoelectronics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Applied Optoelectronics' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.85% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Applied Optoelectronics' Mean Deviation of 5.99, downside deviation of 7.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.087 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Applied Optoelectronics holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.69, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Applied Optoelectronics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Applied Optoelectronics is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Applied Optoelectronics' jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Applied Optoelectronics' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

Applied Optoelectronics has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Applied Optoelectronics time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Applied Optoelectronics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Applied Optoelectronics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.22
Applied Optoelectronics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Applied Optoelectronics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Applied Optoelectronics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Applied Optoelectronics Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Applied Optoelectronics volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Applied Optoelectronics Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Applied Optoelectronics on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Optoelectronics based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Applied Optoelectronics price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Applied Optoelectronics. By analyzing Applied Optoelectronics's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Applied Optoelectronics's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Applied Optoelectronics specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Applied Optoelectronics February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Applied help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Applied Optoelectronics February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applied stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Applied Stock Analysis

When running Applied Optoelectronics' price analysis, check to measure Applied Optoelectronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Optoelectronics is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Optoelectronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Optoelectronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Optoelectronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Optoelectronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.