Allied Gold Stock Performance

AAUC Stock   42.89  0.18  0.42%   
Allied Gold holds a performance score of 29 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Allied Gold returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Allied Gold is expected to follow. Use Allied Gold jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to analyze future returns on Allied Gold.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Allied Gold are ranked lower than 29 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Allied Gold displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:3
Last Split Date
2025-05-22
1
Financial Trading Report - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/18/2025
2
Allied Gold Commences Ore Processing at Sadiolas Phase 1 Expansion - marketscreener.com
12/22/2025
3
Assessing Allied Gold Valuation After Strong 1 Year And 90 Day Share Price Returns - Yahoo Finance
01/06/2026
4
Allied Gold Is Suddenly Everywhere Is AAUC the Sleeper Gold Stock Youre Sleeping On - AD HOC NEWS
01/16/2026
5
Assessing Allied Gold Valuation As Retail Interest Climbs On Gold Price Optimism - simplywall.st
01/22/2026
6
ARMN vs. AAUC Which Gold Mining Stock is the Better Pick Now - Zacks Investment Research
01/30/2026
7
Allied Gold downgraded to Hold at Stifel after takeout offer - TipRanks
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow158.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-193.4 M
  

Allied Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,348  in Allied Gold on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,941  from holding Allied Gold or generate 82.67% return on investment over 90 days. Allied Gold is generating 1.0297% of daily returns and assumes 2.7768% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Allied, and 80% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allied Gold is expected to generate 3.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.37 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Allied Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Allied Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.89 90 days 42.89 
about 9.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allied Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.48 (This Allied Gold probability density function shows the probability of Allied Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This suggests Allied Gold market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Allied Gold is expected to follow. Additionally Allied Gold has an alpha of 0.9003, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allied Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allied Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allied Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7043.4846.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.1544.9347.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.300.620.35
Details

Allied Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allied Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allied Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allied Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allied Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
6.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.34

Allied Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allied Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allied Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 730.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (119.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 426.88 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Allied Gold downgraded to Hold at Stifel after takeout offer - TipRanks

Allied Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allied Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allied Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allied Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments225 M

Allied Gold Fundamentals Growth

Allied Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Allied Gold, and Allied Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Allied Stock performance.

About Allied Gold Performance

By examining Allied Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Allied Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Allied Gold is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 106.16  58.58 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.10)(0.11)
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.13 
Return On Assets(0.10)(0.11)
Return On Equity(0.38)(0.40)

Things to note about Allied Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allied Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Allied Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 730.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (119.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 426.88 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Allied Gold downgraded to Hold at Stifel after takeout offer - TipRanks
Evaluating Allied Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Allied Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Allied Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Allied Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Allied Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Allied Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Allied Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Allied Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Allied Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Allied Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Allied Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Allied Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Allied Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Allied Gold Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Allied Gold Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Allied Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Allied Stock, please use our How to Invest in Allied Gold guide.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Understanding that Allied Gold's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allied Gold represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Allied Gold's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.