Allied Gold Stock Price Prediction
| AAUC Stock | 43.40 1.65 3.95% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Allied Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allied Gold from the perspective of Allied Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Allied Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Allied because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Allied Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 43.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Allied |
Allied Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Allied Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Allied Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Allied Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Allied Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Allied Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Allied Gold's historical news coverage. Allied Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.97 and 46.83, respectively. We have considered Allied Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Allied Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Allied Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Allied Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Allied Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allied Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Allied Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 3.43 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.40 | 43.40 | 0.00 |
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Allied Gold Hype Timeline
Allied Gold is presently traded for 43.40on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Allied is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Allied Gold is about 7350.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.35. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.38. Allied Gold had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 22nd of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Allied Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Allied Stock, please use our How to Invest in Allied Gold guide.Allied Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Allied Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Allied Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Allied Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Allied Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAU | Montage Gold Corp | (0.12) | 7 per month | 1.77 | 0.27 | 6.54 | (3.79) | 13.13 | |
| SKE | Skeena Resources | (0.09) | 4 per month | 1.44 | 0.36 | 5.60 | (2.63) | 10.30 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Energy | 0.15 | 3 per month | 4.09 | 0.07 | 6.37 | (5.67) | 25.19 | |
| WDO | Wesdome Gold Mines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.11 | 3.95 | (4.21) | 14.33 | |
| ARIS | Aris Mining | (0.09) | 1 per month | 1.99 | 0.35 | 6.38 | (2.70) | 14.23 | |
| CG | Centerra Gold | (0.09) | 1 per month | 1.28 | 0.33 | 5.24 | (2.56) | 10.74 | |
| CIA | Champion Iron | (0.09) | 2 per month | 1.23 | 0.20 | 4.31 | (2.47) | 15.06 | |
| AII | Almonty Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.85 | 0.15 | 9.14 | (7.42) | 19.75 | |
| SEA | Seabridge Gold | (0.09) | 2 per month | 2.72 | 0.17 | 5.83 | (4.54) | 14.93 |
Allied Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Allied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Allied Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Allied Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Allied Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allied Gold based on analysis of Allied Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Allied Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Allied Gold's related companies.
Pair Trading with Allied Gold
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Allied Gold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Allied Gold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Allied Stock
| 0.86 | AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | ABX | Barrick Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | FNV | Franco Nevada | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | K | Kinross Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | AGI | Alamos Gold | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Allied Gold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Allied Gold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Allied Gold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Allied Gold to buy it.
The correlation of Allied Gold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Allied Gold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Allied Gold moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Allied Gold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Allied Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Allied Stock, please use our How to Invest in Allied Gold guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.