Adagene Stock Performance
| ADAG Stock | USD 2.91 0.14 5.05% |
Adagene holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adagene are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adagene is likely to outperform the market. Use Adagene mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to analyze future returns on Adagene.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adagene are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Adagene reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 5.05 | Five Day Return 43.35 | Year To Date Return 58.15 | Ten Year Return (90.30) | All Time Return (90.30) |
1 | Adagene Announces Licensing Agreement with Third Arc Bio for Development of Two Masked CD3 T Cell Engagers Utilizing SAFEbody Technology | 11/13/2025 |
2 | Adagene Receives New Buy Rating from Guggenheim ADAG Stock News - GuruFocus | 11/24/2025 |
3 | Why Adagene Inc. stock stays on top picks - Watch List Target Return Focused Picks - Newser | 12/03/2025 |
4 | Adagene Announces FDA Fast Track Designation for Muzastotug | 12/16/2025 |
5 | Analysts Issue Forecasts for Adagene FY2025 Earnings - MarketBeat | 12/18/2025 |
6 | Analysts Set Adagene Inc. Sponsored ADR Price Target at 7.67 | 01/09/2026 |
7 | Guggenheim Maintains Adagene With Buy Rating, Maintains Target Price 9 - | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 109.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 1.1 M |
Adagene Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 179.00 in Adagene on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 112.00 from holding Adagene or generate 62.57% return on investment over 90 days. Adagene is currently generating 1.0144% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.7256% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 60% of stocks are less volatile than Adagene, and 80% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Adagene Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Adagene Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.91 | 90 days | 2.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adagene to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Adagene probability density function shows the probability of Adagene Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adagene has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adagene are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adagene is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Adagene has an alpha of 0.9451, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Adagene Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adagene
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adagene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adagene Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adagene is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adagene's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adagene, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adagene within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Adagene Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adagene for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adagene can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adagene is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Adagene appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Adagene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 103.2 K. Net Loss for the year was (33.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.2 K. | |
| Adagene currently holds about 168.04 M in cash with (29.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Adagene has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Guggenheim Maintains Adagene With Buy Rating, Maintains Target Price 9 - |
Adagene Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adagene Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adagene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adagene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.2 M |
Adagene Fundamentals Growth
Adagene Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adagene, and Adagene fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adagene Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.63 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.25 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (322.84) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 71.28 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 47.13 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.36 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1,329 X | ||||
| Revenue | 103.2 K | ||||
| Gross Profit | 103.2 K | ||||
| EBITDA | (31.66 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (33.42 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 168.04 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.87 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 18.49 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.10 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.80 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (29.7 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.64) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 84.84 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 89.27 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (311.18 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 49.59 M | ||||
About Adagene Performance
By analyzing Adagene's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Adagene's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Adagene has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Adagene has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.43) | (0.45) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.81) | (0.85) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.43) | (0.45) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.76) | (0.72) |
Things to note about Adagene performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adagene for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Adagene help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adagene is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Adagene appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Adagene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 103.2 K. Net Loss for the year was (33.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.2 K. | |
| Adagene currently holds about 168.04 M in cash with (29.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Adagene has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Guggenheim Maintains Adagene With Buy Rating, Maintains Target Price 9 - |
- Analyzing Adagene's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adagene's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Adagene's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Adagene's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adagene's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adagene's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Adagene's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Adagene's price analysis, check to measure Adagene's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adagene is operating at the current time. Most of Adagene's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adagene's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adagene's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adagene to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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