Adagene Stock Performance

ADAG Stock  USD 3.11  0.05  1.58%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Adagene holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.71, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Adagene's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adagene is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Adagene's mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Adagene's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adagene are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Adagene reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.74)
Five Day Return
(2.66)
Year To Date Return
68.75
Ten Year Return
(89.65)
All Time Return
(89.65)
1
Adagene Inc. Sponsored ADR Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - MarketBeat
12/10/2025
2
FDA Grants Fast Track Designation to ADAGs Colorectal Cancer Drug
12/17/2025
3
3 Promising Penny Stocks With Market Caps Over 30M
12/19/2025
4
What catalysts could drive Adagene Inc. Depositary Receipt stock higher - 2026 world cup usa national team quarterfinals defensive leaders low block defense kno...
01/06/2026
5
Short Interest in Adagene Inc. Sponsored ADR Rises By 48.9 percent - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
6
Adagene Inc.s Biggest Owners Are Retail Investors Who Got Richer After Stock Soared 64 percent Last Week -
01/29/2026
7
SC asks CBI, ED to conduct fair, prompt probes against ADAG, firms in banking fraud cases
02/04/2026
8
Short Interest in Adagene Inc. Sponsored ADR Expands By 283.2 percent - MarketBeat
02/11/2026
9
Whats the RSI of Adagene Inc. Depositary Receipt stock - July 2025 Price Swings AI Forecasted EntryExit Points - mfd.ru
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow109.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities1.1 M

Adagene Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  201.00  in Adagene on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  110.00  from holding Adagene or generate 54.73% return on investment over 90 days. Adagene is currently generating 0.917% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.5172% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 58% of stocks are less volatile than Adagene, and 82% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adagene is expected to generate 8.63 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Adagene Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Adagene Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.11 90 days 3.11 
about 6.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adagene to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.01 (This Adagene probability density function shows the probability of Adagene Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adagene has a beta of 0.71. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adagene average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adagene will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adagene has an alpha of 0.9597, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adagene Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adagene

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adagene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.309.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.244.7011.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.129.63
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.669.5110.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Adagene. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Adagene's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Adagene's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Adagene.

Adagene Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adagene is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adagene's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adagene, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adagene within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Adagene Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adagene for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adagene can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adagene is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adagene appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adagene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 103.2 K. Net Loss for the year was (33.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.2 K.
Adagene currently holds about 168.04 M in cash with (29.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Adagene has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Whats the RSI of Adagene Inc. Depositary Receipt stock - July 2025 Price Swings AI Forecasted EntryExit Points - mfd.ru

Adagene Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adagene Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adagene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adagene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36 M
Cash And Short Term Investments85.2 M

Adagene Fundamentals Growth

Adagene Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adagene, and Adagene fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adagene Stock performance.

About Adagene Performance

By analyzing Adagene's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Adagene's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Adagene has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Adagene has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.43)(0.45)
Return On Capital Employed(0.81)(0.85)
Return On Assets(0.43)(0.45)
Return On Equity(0.76)(0.72)

Things to note about Adagene performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adagene for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Adagene help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adagene is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adagene appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adagene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 103.2 K. Net Loss for the year was (33.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.2 K.
Adagene currently holds about 168.04 M in cash with (29.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Adagene has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Whats the RSI of Adagene Inc. Depositary Receipt stock - July 2025 Price Swings AI Forecasted EntryExit Points - mfd.ru
Evaluating Adagene's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adagene's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Adagene's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adagene's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adagene's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adagene's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adagene's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adagene's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Adagene's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adagene's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adagene's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Adagene's price analysis, check to measure Adagene's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adagene is operating at the current time. Most of Adagene's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adagene's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adagene's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adagene to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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