Adagene Stock Analysis

ADAG Stock  USD 1.85  0.02  1.07%   
Adagene is undervalued with Real Value of 4.01 and Target Price of 10.54. The main objective of Adagene stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Adagene is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Adagene's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Adagene stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Adagene's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Adagene. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more detail on how to invest in Adagene Stock please use our How to Invest in Adagene guide.

Adagene Stock Analysis Notes

About 26.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Adagene recorded a loss per share of 0.72. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Adagene Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and production of monoclonal antibody drugs for cancers. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China. Adagene Inc operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 259 people. For more info on Adagene please contact the company at 86 512 8777 3632 or go to https://www.adagene.com.

Adagene Investment Alerts

Adagene generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Adagene has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Adagene may become a speculative penny stock
Adagene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.18 M.
Adagene currently holds about 168.04 M in cash with (28.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Adagene has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: FY2024 Earnings Forecast for Adagene Issued By HC Wainwright - MarketBeat

Adagene Upcoming and Recent Events

26th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
26th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Adagene Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Adagene's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-29
2023-09-30-0.38-0.42-0.0410 
2022-08-30
2022-06-30-0.65-0.77-0.1218 
2022-03-31
2021-12-31-0.67-0.470.229 
View All Earnings Estimates

Adagene Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-09-30
8.3 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
0.0
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Qube Research & Technologies2024-09-30
0.0
Springbok Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
0.0
Artal Group S A2024-06-30
0.0
Wuxi Apptec Co Ltd2024-09-30
M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-09-30
3.6 M
Sc China Holding Ltd2024-09-30
1.3 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Note, although Adagene's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Adagene Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 108.46 M.

Adagene Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Capital Employed(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Equity(0.31)(0.29)

Management Efficiency

Adagene has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1959) % which means that it has lost $0.1959 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.457) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Adagene's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Adagene manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.2. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.34. At this time, Adagene's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Adagene's current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.18, while Other Assets are projected to decrease to 0.86.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.45  1.52 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.45  1.52 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 0.19  0.20 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.08  1.13 
Enterprise Value Multiple 0.19  0.20 
Price Fair Value 1.08  1.13 
Enterprise Value-3.6 M-3.4 M
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Adagene allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Adagene Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Operating Margin
(45.35)
Beta
0.577
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.46)

Technical Drivers

As of the 31st of January, Adagene shows the mean deviation of 3.72, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). Adagene technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Adagene information ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if Adagene is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 1.85 per share. Please also double-check Adagene jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.52) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Adagene Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourty-four with a total number of output elements of seventeen. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Adagene middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Adagene. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Adagene Outstanding Bonds

Adagene issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Adagene uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Adagene bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Adagene has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Adagene Predictive Daily Indicators

Adagene intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Adagene stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Adagene Forecast Models

Adagene's time-series forecasting models are one of many Adagene's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Adagene's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Adagene Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Adagene prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Adagene shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Adagene. By using and applying Adagene Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Adagene entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.86)(0.90)
Operating Profit Margin(1.18)(1.24)
Net Loss(0.94)(0.99)

Current Adagene Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Adagene analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Adagene analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
10.54Buy4Odds
Adagene current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Adagene analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Adagene stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Adagene, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Adagene conference calls.
Adagene Analyst Advice Details

Adagene Stock Analysis Indicators

Adagene stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Adagene stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Adagene shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Adagene stock analysis, traders can identify Adagene position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow143.8 M
Long Term Debt13.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity70.6 M
Tax Provision1.7 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments109.9 M
Cash109.9 M
Accounts Payable3.1 M
Net Debt-87.6 M
50 Day M A2.615
Total Current Liabilities31.5 M
Other Operating Expenses41.8 M
Non Current Assets Total2.3 M
Non Currrent Assets Other84.9 K
Stock Based Compensation7.3 M

Complementary Tools for Adagene Stock analysis

When running Adagene's price analysis, check to measure Adagene's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adagene is operating at the current time. Most of Adagene's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adagene's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adagene's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adagene to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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