Alarum Technologies Stock Analysis

ALAR Stock   13.29  0.77  6.15%   
Alarum Technologies is overvalued with Real Value of 10.48 and Target Price of 9.5. The main objective of Alarum Technologies stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alarum Technologies is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alarum Technologies' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alarum Technologies stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Alarum Technologies is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Alarum Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
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Alarum Stock Analysis Notes

About 14.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alarum Technologies was presently reported as 0.3. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of June 2018. Alarum Technologies had 1:10 split on the 8th of November 2022. For more info on Alarum Technologies please contact Shachar Daniel at 972 9 866 6110 or go to https://www.alarum.io.

Alarum Technologies Quarterly Total Revenue

8.88 Million

Alarum Technologies Investment Alerts

Alarum Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.13 M.

Alarum Technologies Upcoming and Recent Events

29th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Alarum Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alarum Technologies' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-03-14
2023-12-310.260.30.0415 
2023-11-28
2023-09-300.070.03-0.0457 
2024-05-21
2024-03-310.280.23-0.0517 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alarum Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 102.35 M.

Alarum Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.13 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.35 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.35.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.38)(0.40)
Return On Capital Employed(0.38)(0.40)
Return On Assets(0.28)(0.29)
Return On Equity(0.42)(0.44)

Management Efficiency

Alarum Technologies has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.2357 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.2357 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2916 %, meaning that it created $0.2916 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Alarum Technologies' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alarum Technologies manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 11/22/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.4. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.4. At this time, Alarum Technologies' Non Current Assets Total are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 149.1 K, while Other Assets are likely to drop 0.95.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.33  0.31 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.19  0.18 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(7.73)(8.11)
Price Book Value Ratio 2.37  2.49 
Enterprise Value Multiple(7.73)(8.11)
Price Fair Value 2.37  2.49 
Enterprise Value22.4 M22.9 M
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Alarum Technologies allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Alarum Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.3471
Profit Margin
0.127
Beta
0.041
Return On Assets
0.2357
Return On Equity
0.2916

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Alarum Technologies shows the mean deviation of 6.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). Alarum Technologies technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alarum Technologies standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Alarum Technologies is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 13.29 per share. Given that Alarum Technologies has information ratio of (0.05), we suggest you to validate Alarum Technologies's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alarum Technologies Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Alarum Technologies middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Alarum Technologies. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Alarum Technologies Predictive Daily Indicators

Alarum Technologies intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alarum Technologies stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alarum Technologies Corporate Filings

6K
9th of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
26th of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
1st of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
10th of July 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Alarum Technologies Forecast Models

Alarum Technologies' time-series forecasting models are one of many Alarum Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alarum Technologies' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Alarum Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alarum Technologies prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alarum shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alarum Technologies. By using and applying Alarum Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alarum entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.23)(0.24)
Operating Profit Margin(0.21)(0.22)
Net Loss(0.21)(0.22)
Gross Profit Margin 0.71  0.74 

Current Alarum Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alarum analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alarum analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
9.5Strong Buy3Odds
Alarum Technologies current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alarum analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alarum stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alarum Technologies, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alarum conference calls.
Alarum Analyst Advice Details

Alarum Stock Analysis Indicators

Alarum Technologies stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alarum Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alarum Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alarum Technologies stock analysis, traders can identify Alarum Technologies position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow3.3 M
Long Term Debt802 K
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity13.2 M
Tax Provision-616 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net867 K
Cash And Short Term Investments10.9 M
Cash10.9 M
Accounts Payable369 K
Net Debt-8.9 M
50 Day M A12.6472
Total Current Liabilities5.6 M
Other Operating Expenses32 M
Non Current Assets Total6.8 M
Forward Price Earnings18.2149
Non Currrent Assets Other142 K
Stock Based Compensation933 K

Additional Tools for Alarum Stock Analysis

When running Alarum Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Alarum Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alarum Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Alarum Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alarum Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alarum Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alarum Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.