Aurora Innovation Stock Performance
| AUR Stock | USD 4.22 0.14 3.21% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Aurora Innovation holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.76, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aurora Innovation will likely underperform. Please check Aurora Innovation's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Aurora Innovation's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aurora Innovation are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent basic indicators, Aurora Innovation reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.21) | Five Day Return 7.11 | Year To Date Return 9.04 | Ten Year Return (57.80) | All Time Return (57.80) |
1 | Bank of New York Mellon Corp Acquires 137,861 Shares of Aurora Innovation, Inc. AUR - MarketBeat | 11/17/2025 |
2 | GM Eyes Ex-Tesla Autopilot Exec Sterling Anderson As Potential CEO Successor To Mary Barra Report | 12/19/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by David Maday of 79873 shares of Aurora Innovation subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/30/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by David Maday of 79874 shares of Aurora Innovation subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Bagley Brittany of 4966 shares of Aurora Innovation subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
6 | Aurora Innovation Valuation Check After Expanded Driverless Truck And AI Collaborations | 01/09/2026 |
7 | Aurora Innovation Scaling Up Will Be The New Test - Seeking Alpha | 01/13/2026 |
8 | Will Ahead-of-Schedule McLeod TMS Integration and Live Driverless Loads Change Aurora Innovations Narrative | 01/15/2026 |
9 | Wall Street Bullish on Aurora Innovation Ahead of Q4 2025 Earnings | 01/29/2026 |
10 | Aurora Innovation Q4 2025 Earnings Preview | 02/10/2026 |
11 | Aurora Innovation, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 518 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -172 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -645 M |
Aurora Innovation Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 383.00 in Aurora Innovation on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 39.00 from holding Aurora Innovation or generate 10.18% return on investment over 90 days. Aurora Innovation is generating 0.2404% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.0448% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Aurora, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Aurora Innovation Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Aurora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.22 | 90 days | 4.22 | about 55.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aurora Innovation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.49 (This Aurora Innovation probability density function shows the probability of Aurora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Aurora Innovation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aurora Innovation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurora Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aurora Innovation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aurora Innovation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aurora Innovation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aurora Innovation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aurora Innovation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aurora Innovation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Aurora Innovation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aurora Innovation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aurora Innovation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aurora Innovation had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (748 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (731 M). | |
| Aurora Innovation has about 1.38 B in cash with (611 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2. | |
| Aurora Innovation has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Aurora Innovation, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript |
Aurora Innovation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aurora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aurora Innovation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurora Innovation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Aurora Innovation Fundamentals Growth
Aurora Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aurora Innovation, and Aurora Innovation fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aurora Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.37 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (222.00) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.3 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.68 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4,219 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | (731 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (765 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (748 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.38 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.20 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 121 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 21.03 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.19 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (611 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.45) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 8.44 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.14 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (4.36 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.15 B | ||||
About Aurora Innovation Performance
Assessing Aurora Innovation's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Aurora Innovation's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Aurora Innovation is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.47) | (0.50) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.40) | (0.42) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.35) | (0.37) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.38) | (0.40) |
Things to note about Aurora Innovation performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aurora Innovation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aurora Innovation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aurora Innovation had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (748 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (731 M). | |
| Aurora Innovation has about 1.38 B in cash with (611 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.2. | |
| Aurora Innovation has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Aurora Innovation, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript |
- Analyzing Aurora Innovation's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aurora Innovation's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Aurora Innovation's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Aurora Innovation's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aurora Innovation's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aurora Innovation's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aurora Innovation's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Aurora Stock Analysis
When running Aurora Innovation's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.