Aurora Innovation Stock Technical Analysis
| AUR Stock | USD 4.28 0.21 4.68% |
As of the 5th of March, Aurora Innovation shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.052, mean deviation of 2.93, and Downside Deviation of 3.64. Aurora Innovation technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Aurora Innovation standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Aurora Innovation is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 4.28 per share. Given that Aurora Innovation has jensen alpha of 0.1249, we suggest you to validate Aurora Innovation's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Aurora Innovation Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Aurora, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AuroraAurora Innovation's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Aurora Innovation Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 10.46 | Buy | 10 | Odds |
Most Aurora analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aurora stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aurora Innovation, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aurora conference calls.
Can Application Software industry sustain growth momentum? Does Aurora have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Innovation. If investors know Aurora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Aurora Innovation demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share (0.44) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.91) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Aurora Innovation's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Aurora's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Aurora Innovation's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Aurora Innovation's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Aurora Innovation's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aurora Innovation represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Aurora Innovation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Aurora Innovation 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aurora Innovation's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aurora Innovation.
| 12/05/2025 |
| 03/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Aurora Innovation on December 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aurora Innovation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aurora Innovation over 90 days. Aurora Innovation is related to or competes with Unity Software, SERESCO 16, BYTES TECHGRP, Blackline, Dynatrace Holdings, DoubleVerify Holdings, and Aurora Mobile. Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States More
Aurora Innovation Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aurora Innovation's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aurora Innovation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0473 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 22.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.16 |
Aurora Innovation Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aurora Innovation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aurora Innovation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aurora Innovation historical prices to predict the future Aurora Innovation's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.052 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1249 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0522 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0771 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aurora Innovation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aurora Innovation March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.052 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0871 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1715.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.02 | |||
| Variance | 16.12 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0473 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1249 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0522 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0771 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 22.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.08) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8796 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.37 |
Aurora Innovation Backtested Returns
Currently, Aurora Innovation is slightly risky. Aurora Innovation secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0213, which signifies that the company had a 0.0213 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Aurora Innovation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aurora Innovation's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.052, downside deviation of 3.64, and Mean Deviation of 2.93 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0801%. Aurora Innovation has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.9, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aurora Innovation will likely underperform. Aurora Innovation right now shows a risk of 3.77%. Please confirm Aurora Innovation maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day typical price , to decide if Aurora Innovation will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.68 |
Good predictability
Aurora Innovation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aurora Innovation time series from 5th of December 2025 to 19th of January 2026 and 19th of January 2026 to 5th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aurora Innovation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Aurora Innovation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.68 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.07 |
Aurora Innovation technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Aurora Innovation Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Aurora Innovation across different markets.
About Aurora Innovation Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Aurora Innovation on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurora Innovation based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Aurora Innovation price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Aurora Innovation. By analyzing Aurora Innovation's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Aurora Innovation's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Aurora Innovation specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PB Ratio | 2.92 | 5.44 | 3.3 | 6.46 | Capex To Depreciation | 0.71 | 1.62 | 1.03 | 1.78 |
Aurora Innovation March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Aurora help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurora from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Aurora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.052 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0871 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1715.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.02 | |||
| Variance | 16.12 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0473 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1249 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0522 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0771 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 22.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.08) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8796 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.37 |
Aurora Innovation March 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aurora stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 4.28 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 4.28 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) |
Additional Tools for Aurora Stock Analysis
When running Aurora Innovation's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Innovation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Innovation is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Innovation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Innovation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Innovation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Innovation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.