Autozone Stock Performance
| AZO Stock | USD 3,634 46.97 1.28% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0584, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AutoZone's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AutoZone is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AutoZone has a negative expected return of -0.0391%. Please make sure to confirm AutoZone's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if AutoZone performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days AutoZone has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, AutoZone is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 298.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.4 B |
AutoZone Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 375,624 in AutoZone on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (12,195) from holding AutoZone or give up 3.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. AutoZone is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.6827% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than AutoZone, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AutoZone Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AutoZone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3,634 | 90 days | 3,634 | about 47.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AutoZone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.68 (This AutoZone probability density function shows the probability of AutoZone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
AutoZone Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AutoZone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AutoZone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AutoZone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AutoZone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AutoZone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AutoZone, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AutoZone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 201.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
AutoZone Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AutoZone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AutoZone can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AutoZone generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AutoZone has 12.29 B in debt. AutoZone has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for AutoZone to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
AutoZone Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AutoZone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AutoZone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AutoZone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 271.8 M |
AutoZone Fundamentals Growth
AutoZone Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AutoZone, and AutoZone fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AutoZone Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 72.75 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 16.57 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 21.95 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 13.38 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.17 X | ||||
| Revenue | 18.94 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 4.22 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 271.8 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 16.55 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 12.29 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | (5.81) % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (194.67) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.12 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 143.57 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 19.36 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (3.98 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 4.24 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 4.69 B | ||||
About AutoZone Performance
By examining AutoZone's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into AutoZone's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that AutoZone is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
AutoZone, Inc. retails and distributes automotive replacement parts and accessories. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee. Autozone operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 69440 people.Things to note about AutoZone performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AutoZone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AutoZone help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AutoZone generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AutoZone has 12.29 B in debt. AutoZone has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for AutoZone to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
- Analyzing AutoZone's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AutoZone's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AutoZone's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AutoZone's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AutoZone's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AutoZone's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AutoZone's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AutoZone. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. To learn how to invest in AutoZone Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoZone guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Will Automotive Retail sector continue expanding? Could AutoZone diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoZone. If investors know AutoZone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AutoZone data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of AutoZone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoZone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoZone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoZone's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because AutoZone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoZone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AutoZone's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AutoZone represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, AutoZone's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.