AutoZone Valuation

AZO Stock  USD 3,681  76.23  2.11%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. AutoZone shows a prevailing Real Value of $3932.61 per share. The current price of the firm is $3681.26. Our model approximates the value of AutoZone from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 16.57 M, operating margin of 0.17 %, and Return On Asset of 0.12 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AutoZone's valuation include:
Price Book
13.383
Enterprise Value
73.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
17.5085
Price Sales
3.1088
Forward PE
24.0385
Undervalued
Today
3,681
Please note that AutoZone's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AutoZone is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AutoZone's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since AutoZone is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AutoZone Stock. However, AutoZone's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  3681.26 Real  3932.61 Target  4221.38 Hype  3681.26 Naive  3514.42
The intrinsic value of AutoZone's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence AutoZone's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
3,933
Real Value
3,934
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AutoZone helps investors to forecast how AutoZone stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AutoZone more accurately as focusing exclusively on AutoZone's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
25.2627.3129.63
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6803,6813,683
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3,5133,5143,516
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3,8414,2214,686
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AutoZone's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AutoZone's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AutoZone's closest peers.

AutoZone Cash

203.7 Million

AutoZone Total Value Analysis

AutoZone is presently forecasted to have company total value of 73.4 B with market capitalization of 59.96 B, debt of 12.29 B, and cash on hands of 271.8 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the AutoZone fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
73.4 B
59.96 B
12.29 B
271.8 M

AutoZone Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. AutoZone recorded earning per share (EPS) of 138.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of April 1994. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from AutoZone's historical financial statements, AutoZone may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.130.2049
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.8 B3.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income4.4 B4.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

AutoZone Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AutoZone has an asset utilization ratio of 97.85 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.98 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AutoZone is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AutoZone Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from AutoZone's financial statements, AutoZone may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the moment. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess AutoZone's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1989-08-31
Previous Quarter
837 M
Current Value
530.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
210.6 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of the 7th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 12 B, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.11.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.380.5309
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.0780.144
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.130.2049
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.110.1805
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.10.155
Way Down
Pretty Stable
For AutoZone profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AutoZone to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AutoZone utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AutoZone's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AutoZone over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AutoZone Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AutoZone is estimated to be 27.3055 with future projections ranging from a low of 25.26 to a high of 29.63. AutoZone's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 138.79. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for AutoZone is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AutoZone is projected to generate 27.3055 in earnings per share on the 28th of February 2026. AutoZone earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AutoZone EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AutoZone's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AutoZone, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AutoZone Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AutoZone's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AutoZone is estimated to be 27.3055 with the future projection ranging from a low of 25.26 to a high of 29.63. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AutoZone is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
31.04
25.26
Lowest
Expected EPS
27.3055
29.63
Highest

AutoZone Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AutoZone's value are higher than the current market price of the AutoZone stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AutoZone is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AutoZone's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 28th of February 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2894.02%
31.04
27.3055
138.79

AutoZone Ownership Allocation

AutoZone holds a total of 16.57 Million outstanding shares. The majority of AutoZone outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AutoZone to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AutoZone. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AutoZone as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on January 13, 2026, Representative Gilbert Cisneros of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of AutoZone's common stock.

AutoZone Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.94 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.5 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.06 B.

About AutoZone Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AutoZone. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of AutoZone based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing AutoZone's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AutoZone's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AutoZone. We calculate exposure to AutoZone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AutoZone's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit11.5 B12 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.08 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.38 

AutoZone Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.046
Forward Price Earnings24.0385

AutoZone Current Valuation Indicators

AutoZone's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final AutoZone's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AutoZone, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AutoZone's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AutoZone's worth.
When determining whether AutoZone offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AutoZone's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Autozone Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Autozone Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AutoZone. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
To learn how to invest in AutoZone Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoZone guide.
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Will Automotive Retail sector continue expanding? Could AutoZone diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoZone. If investors know AutoZone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AutoZone data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Earnings Share
138.79
Revenue Per Share
1.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Return On Assets
0.1196
The market value of AutoZone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoZone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoZone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoZone's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because AutoZone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoZone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AutoZone's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AutoZone represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, AutoZone's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.