Autozone Stock Price Patterns
| AZO Stock | USD 3,672 50.80 1.36% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year 147.9011 | EPS Estimate Next Year 174.6283 | Wall Street Target Price 4.2 K | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 32.4014 |
Using AutoZone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AutoZone from the perspective of AutoZone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AutoZone using AutoZone's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AutoZone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AutoZone's stock price.
AutoZone Short Interest
An investor who is long AutoZone may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AutoZone and may potentially protect profits, hedge AutoZone with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.8 K | Short Percent 0.0184 | Short Ratio 1.52 | Shares Short Prior Month 317.6 K | 50 Day MA 3.6 K |
AutoZone Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AutoZone's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AutoZone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AutoZone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AutoZone. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AutoZone's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AutoZone.
AutoZone Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
AutoZone's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AutoZone stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AutoZone's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AutoZone stock will not fluctuate a lot when AutoZone's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AutoZone to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AutoZone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AutoZone after-hype prediction price | USD 3672.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AutoZone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AutoZone will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With AutoZone trading at USD 3671.61, that is roughly USD 1.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AutoZone's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AutoZone options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out AutoZone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. AutoZone After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AutoZone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AutoZone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AutoZone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AutoZone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AutoZone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AutoZone's historical news coverage. AutoZone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3,671 and 3,674, respectively. We have considered AutoZone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AutoZone is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AutoZone is based on 3 months time horizon.
AutoZone Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AutoZone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AutoZone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AutoZone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.63 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3,672 | 3,672 | 0.02 |
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AutoZone Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February AutoZone is traded for 3,672. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AutoZone is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3672.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 4.01%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on AutoZone is about 336.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3,672. The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.94 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.5 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.06 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out AutoZone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AutoZone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AutoZone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AutoZone's future price movements. Getting to know how AutoZone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AutoZone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORLY | OReilly Automotive | (1.42) | 8 per month | 1.37 | (0) | 2.32 | (2.35) | 6.34 | |
| GM | General Motors | (1.17) | 7 per month | 1.23 | 0.15 | 3.93 | (2.62) | 11.37 | |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings | 1.32 | 7 per month | 0.90 | 0.14 | 2.63 | (1.82) | 7.52 | |
| ROST | Ross Stores | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.50 | 0.18 | 1.44 | (1.02) | 11.17 | |
| F | Ford Motor | (0.06) | 6 per month | 1.22 | 0.02 | 3.38 | (2.35) | 7.16 | |
| RACE | Ferrari NV | (1.24) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.98 | (2.82) | 7.22 | |
| CPNG | Coupang LLC | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 2.66 | (5.07) | 11.82 | |
| CPRT | Copart Inc | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.02 | (2.82) | 6.69 | |
| MAR | Marriott International | (1.89) | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 3.48 | (1.47) | 8.46 | |
| TCOM | Trip Group Ltd | (0.85) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.70 | (3.34) | 21.80 |
AutoZone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AutoZone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AutoZone using various technical indicators. When you analyze AutoZone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AutoZone Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AutoZone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AutoZone, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AutoZone based on analysis of AutoZone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AutoZone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AutoZone's related companies. | 2018 | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Inventory Turnover | 1.45 | 1.28 | 1.99 | ROIC | 0.35 | 0.28 | 0.22 |
Pair Trading with AutoZone
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AutoZone position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AutoZone will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AutoZone Stock
Moving against AutoZone Stock
| 0.6 | FCAP | First Capital Normal Trading | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | SLF | Sun Life Financial Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AutoZone could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AutoZone when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AutoZone - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AutoZone to buy it.
The correlation of AutoZone is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AutoZone moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AutoZone moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AutoZone can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out AutoZone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in AutoZone Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoZone guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Will Automotive Retail sector continue expanding? Could AutoZone diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoZone. If investors know AutoZone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AutoZone data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Earnings Share 143.31 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets |
The market value of AutoZone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoZone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoZone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoZone's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because AutoZone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoZone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AutoZone's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AutoZone represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, AutoZone's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.