Confluent Stock Performance

CFLT Stock  USD 30.59  0.01  0.03%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Confluent holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0842, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Confluent's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Confluent is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Confluent's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Confluent's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Confluent are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating essential indicators, Confluent unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow349.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-75 M

Confluent Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,340  in Confluent on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  711.00  from holding Confluent or generate 30.38% return on investment over 90 days. Confluent is currently generating 0.5022% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.9581% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Confluent, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Confluent is expected to generate 5.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Confluent Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Confluent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.59 90 days 30.59 
about 25.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Confluent to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.13 (This Confluent probability density function shows the probability of Confluent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Confluent has a beta of 0.0842 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Confluent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Confluent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Confluent has an alpha of 0.4843, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Confluent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Confluent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Confluent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5930.5834.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0532.0436.03
Details

Confluent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Confluent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Confluent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Confluent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Confluent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Confluent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Confluent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Confluent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Confluent appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 963.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (345.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 825.34 M.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Confluent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Confluent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Confluent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Confluent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding321.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Confluent Fundamentals Growth

Confluent Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Confluent, and Confluent fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Confluent Stock performance.

About Confluent Performance

Assessing Confluent's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Confluent's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Confluent is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally. Confluent, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. Confluent Inc operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1981 people.

Things to note about Confluent performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Confluent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Confluent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Confluent appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 963.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (345.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 825.34 M.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Confluent's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Confluent's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Confluent's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Confluent's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Confluent's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Confluent's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Confluent's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Confluent's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Confluent's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Confluent's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Confluent's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Confluent Stock Analysis

When running Confluent's price analysis, check to measure Confluent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Confluent is operating at the current time. Most of Confluent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Confluent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Confluent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Confluent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.