Confluent Stock Technical Analysis
| CFLT Stock | USD 30.72 0.06 0.20% |
As of the 19th of February, Confluent shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 536.13, mean deviation of 1.33, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1509. Confluent technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Confluent Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Confluent, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ConfluentConfluent | Build AI portfolio with Confluent Stock |
Is there potential for Application Software market expansion? Will Confluent introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Confluent. Projected growth potential of Confluent fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Confluent listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Confluent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Confluent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Confluent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Confluent's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Confluent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Confluent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Confluent's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Confluent should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Confluent's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Confluent 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Confluent's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Confluent.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Confluent on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Confluent or generate 0.0% return on investment in Confluent over 90 days. Confluent is related to or competes with Dropbox, WixCom, Klaviyo, Bullish, Uipath, Core Scientific, and Amdocs. Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally More
Confluent Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Confluent's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Confluent upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.5599 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1701 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.56 |
Confluent Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Confluent's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Confluent's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Confluent historical prices to predict the future Confluent's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1509 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7102 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4402 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 1.17 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (215.17) |
Confluent February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1509 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (215.16) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.5599 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 536.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Variance | 14.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1701 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7102 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4402 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 1.17 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (215.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3135 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.58) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 6.98 | |||
| Kurtosis | 51.58 |
Confluent Backtested Returns
Confluent appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Confluent secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the company had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Confluent's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.72% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Confluent's Mean Deviation of 1.33, risk adjusted performance of 0.1509, and Coefficient Of Variation of 536.13 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Confluent holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0033, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Confluent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Confluent is likely to outperform the market. Please check Confluent's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Confluent's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.62 |
Good predictability
Confluent has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Confluent time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Confluent price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Confluent price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Confluent technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Confluent Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Confluent volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Confluent Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Confluent on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Confluent based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Confluent price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Confluent. By analyzing Confluent's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Confluent's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Confluent specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Confluent February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Confluent help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Confluent from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Confluent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1509 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (215.16) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.5599 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 536.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Variance | 14.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1701 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.7102 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4402 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 1.17 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (215.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 29.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.43) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3135 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.58) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 6.98 | |||
| Kurtosis | 51.58 |
Confluent February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Confluent stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20,635 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.55 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 30.67 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 30.68 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.08 |
Additional Tools for Confluent Stock Analysis
When running Confluent's price analysis, check to measure Confluent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Confluent is operating at the current time. Most of Confluent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Confluent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Confluent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Confluent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.