Cincinnati Financial Stock Performance

CINF Stock  USD 157.98  0.95  0.60%   
Cincinnati Financial has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cincinnati Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cincinnati Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Cincinnati Financial right now shows a risk of 0.98%. Please confirm Cincinnati Financial sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Cincinnati Financial will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.6
Five Day Return
(2.22)
Year To Date Return
(2.17)
Ten Year Return
188.18
All Time Return
8.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.022
Payout Ratio
0.4508
Last Split Factor
105:100
Forward Dividend Rate
3.48
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
1
Aflac Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Group Life Sales
11/05/2025
2
Disposition of 148 shares by Delaney Angela Ossello of Cincinnati Financial at 61.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/06/2025
3
PLMR Stock Outperforms Industry Time to Add it for Better Returns
11/20/2025
4
Cincinnati Financial Stock Is CINF Outperforming the Financial Services Sector
12/11/2025
5
Disposition of 312 shares by Hogan Thomas Christopher of Cincinnati Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
6
4 Dividend Paying Stocks Worth Watching for Steady Income in 2026
12/29/2025
7
AIZ Near 52-Week High Time to Buy the Stock for Solid Returns
01/02/2026
8
Cincinnati Financial Schedules Webcast to Discuss Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
01/08/2026
9
5 PC Insurers Stocks to Watch As the Industry Witnesses Soft Pricing
01/14/2026
 
Cincinnati Financial dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
10
Cincinnati Financial Gets Mixed Wall Street Signals as Pricing Trends Stay Soft
01/20/2026
11
QRG Capital Management Inc. Reduces Stock Holdings in Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF
01/21/2026
12
Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF Holdings Raised by Sequoia Financial Advisors LLC
01/22/2026
13
AEGON ASSET MANAGEMENT UK Plc Grows Stock Position in Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow907 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.7 B

Cincinnati Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  15,104  in Cincinnati Financial on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  694.00  from holding Cincinnati Financial or generate 4.59% return on investment over 90 days. Cincinnati Financial is currently generating 0.0797% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.9842% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than Cincinnati, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cincinnati Financial is expected to generate 1.32 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Cincinnati Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cincinnati Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 157.98 90 days 157.98 
about 82.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cincinnati Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.11 (This Cincinnati Financial probability density function shows the probability of Cincinnati Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cincinnati Financial has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cincinnati Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cincinnati Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cincinnati Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cincinnati Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cincinnati Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cincinnati Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
157.01157.99158.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
142.18166.15167.13
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
158.04173.67192.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.802.002.19
Details

Cincinnati Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cincinnati Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cincinnati Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cincinnati Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cincinnati Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0004
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
4.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Cincinnati Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cincinnati Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cincinnati Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2026 Cincinnati Financial paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fnarena.com: In Brief Hub24, Singular Health Articore Group

Cincinnati Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cincinnati Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cincinnati Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cincinnati Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.5 B

Cincinnati Financial Fundamentals Growth

Cincinnati Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cincinnati Financial, and Cincinnati Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cincinnati Stock performance.

About Cincinnati Financial Performance

By analyzing Cincinnati Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cincinnati Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cincinnati Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cincinnati Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.08 

Things to note about Cincinnati Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cincinnati Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cincinnati Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2026 Cincinnati Financial paid $ 0.87 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fnarena.com: In Brief Hub24, Singular Health Articore Group
Evaluating Cincinnati Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cincinnati Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cincinnati Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cincinnati Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cincinnati Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cincinnati Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cincinnati Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cincinnati Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cincinnati Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cincinnati Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cincinnati Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Cincinnati Stock analysis

When running Cincinnati Financial's price analysis, check to measure Cincinnati Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cincinnati Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Cincinnati Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cincinnati Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cincinnati Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities