First Commerce Bank Stock Performance

First Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  509.00  in First Commerce Bank on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  161.00  from holding First Commerce Bank or generate 31.63% return on investment over 90 days. First Commerce Bank is currently generating 0.4694% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4743% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Commerce is expected to generate 1.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.32 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

First Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Commerce Bank has a beta of -0.19 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Commerce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Commerce Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Commerce Bank has an alpha of 0.515, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for First Commerce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Commerce Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.00 1.46 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.00 1.46 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 5.68 7.14 8.60 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 5.94 6.31 6.68 Details

First Commerce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Commerce Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

First Commerce Fundamentals Growth

When running First Commerce's price analysis, check to measure First Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of First Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.