Cerence Stock Performance
| CRNC Stock | USD 8.26 0.32 4.03% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Cerence holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.98, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cerence will likely underperform. Please check Cerence's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Cerence's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cerence are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting basic indicators, Cerence exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 4.03 | Five Day Return 10.13 | Year To Date Return (28.55) | Ten Year Return (67.61) | All Time Return (67.61) |
1 | Cerence GAAP EPS of -0.24 beats by 0.13, revenue of 60.64M beats by 5.34M | 11/19/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Brian Krzanich of 552766 shares of Cerence at 10.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/24/2025 |
3 | Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - news.stocktradersdaily.com | 12/15/2025 |
4 | Cerence AI to Participate in 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference | 01/06/2026 |
5 | Cerence Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Cerence to Announce Fiscal First Quarter Results on February 4, 2026 | 01/21/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 64784 shares by Jennifer Salinas of Cerence at 12.7573 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
8 | Cerence reaffirms 300M320M FY26 revenue guidance as xUI drives new OEM wins and record cash flow | 02/05/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Harris Marion of 12968 shares of Cerence at 0.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/12/2026 |
10 | Cerence Inc Is Powering the Cars That Talk Back To You But Is The Stock A Secret Steal Or Total - AD HOC NEWS | 02/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 121.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -10.6 M |
Cerence Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 787.00 in Cerence on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 39.00 from holding Cerence or generate 4.96% return on investment over 90 days. Cerence is currently generating 0.2823% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.335% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 56% of stocks are less volatile than Cerence, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Cerence Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Cerence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 8.26 | 90 days | 8.26 | over 95.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cerence to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.31 (This Cerence probability density function shows the probability of Cerence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Cerence Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cerence
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cerence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cerence Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cerence is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cerence's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cerence, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cerence within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Cerence Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cerence for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cerence can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cerence had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Cerence has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 251.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 249.41 M. | |
| Cerence has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cerence Inc Is Powering the Cars That Talk Back To You But Is The Stock A Secret Steal Or Total - AD HOC NEWS |
Cerence Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cerence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cerence's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cerence's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 87.5 M |
Cerence Fundamentals Growth
Cerence Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cerence, and Cerence fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cerence Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0025 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0575 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 465.32 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 45.02 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 14.18 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.47 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.18 X | ||||
| Revenue | 251.78 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 249.41 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 11.95 M | ||||
| Net Income | (18.71 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 129.34 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.28 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 230.26 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.30 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.34 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 61.17 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.02 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 371.85 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 630.59 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (940.45 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 89.57 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 78.83 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 105.3 M | ||||
About Cerence Performance
By analyzing Cerence's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cerence's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cerence has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cerence has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 22.55 | 20.05 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.06) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.03) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.14) | (0.15) |
Things to note about Cerence performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cerence for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cerence help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cerence had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Cerence has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 251.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 249.41 M. | |
| Cerence has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cerence Inc Is Powering the Cars That Talk Back To You But Is The Stock A Secret Steal Or Total - AD HOC NEWS |
- Analyzing Cerence's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cerence's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Cerence's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Cerence's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cerence's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cerence's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cerence's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Cerence Stock analysis
When running Cerence's price analysis, check to measure Cerence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerence is operating at the current time. Most of Cerence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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