Cerence Stock Analysis

CRNC Stock  USD 7.20  1.37  23.50%   
Cerence is undervalued with Real Value of 12.99 and Target Price of 31.5. The main objective of Cerence stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Cerence is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Cerence's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Cerence stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Cerence's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cerence. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For information on how to trade Cerence Stock refer to our How to Trade Cerence Stock guide.

Cerence Stock Analysis Notes

About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cerence has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. The entity recorded a loss per share of 14.12. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Cerence Inc. provides AI powered virtual assistants for the mobilitytransportation market worldwide. It also provides conversational artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling technology. Cerence operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1700 people. For more info on Cerence please contact Brian Krzanich at 857 362 7300 or go to https://www.cerence.com.

Cerence Quarterly Total Revenue

54.8 Million

Cerence Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Cerence's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Cerence or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Cerence is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cerence appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 331.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (588.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 233.71 M.
Cerence has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: CRNC Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates Will FY25 Outlook Drag Shares Down

Cerence Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Cerence previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
25th of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Cerence Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Cerence's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-27
2023-09-300.150.09-0.0640 
2022-02-07
2021-12-310.510.590.0815 
2021-08-09
2021-06-300.540.620.0814 
View All Earnings Estimates

Cerence Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Cerence's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Cerence's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Cerence's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Cerence's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Cerence Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-06-30
871.7 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
805.4 K
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
730.1 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
698.7 K
Citigroup Inc2024-06-30
601.1 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-06-30
547.6 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
539.6 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
536.3 K
Meros Investment Management, Lp2024-06-30
512.1 K
American Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
3.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.3 M
Note, although Cerence's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cerence Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 301.85 M.

Cerence Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.62) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.05 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.05.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.14)(0.16)
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.09)(0.09)

Management Efficiency

Cerence has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0377 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0377 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.3517) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Cerence's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Cerence manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 23, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.16. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.03. At present, Cerence's Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 77.8 M, whereas Total Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 179.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 19.87  27.63 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(5.99)(6.29)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(207.54)(197.16)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.06  1.08 
Price Fair Value 1.06  1.08 
Enterprise Value Multiple(207.54)(197.16)
Enterprise Value565.1 M502.3 M
Leadership effectiveness at Cerence is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Operating Margin
0.0519
Profit Margin
(1.62)
Beta
2.357
Return On Assets
0.0377
Return On Equity
(1.35)

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of November, Cerence shows the Downside Deviation of 5.37, risk adjusted performance of 0.1059, and Mean Deviation of 7.12. Cerence technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Cerence Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Cerence middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Cerence. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Cerence Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Cerence insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Cerence's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Cerence insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Cerence Outstanding Bonds

Cerence issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Cerence uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Cerence bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Cerence has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Cerence Predictive Daily Indicators

Cerence intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Cerence stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Cerence Corporate Filings

8K
21st of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
25th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
15th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
9th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
7th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Cerence Forecast Models

Cerence's time-series forecasting models are one of many Cerence's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cerence's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Cerence Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Cerence prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Cerence shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Cerence. By using and applying Cerence Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Cerence entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(1.76)(1.68)
Operating Profit Margin(1.75)(1.66)
Net Loss(1.77)(1.69)
Gross Profit Margin 0.74  0.56 

Current Cerence Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Cerence analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cerence analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
31.5Buy7Odds
Cerence current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Cerence analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Cerence stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Cerence, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Cerence conference calls.
Cerence Analyst Advice Details

Cerence Stock Analysis Indicators

Cerence stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Cerence stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Cerence shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Cerence stock analysis, traders can identify Cerence position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow101.2 M
50 Day M A3.0641
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.6 M
Other Operating Expenses824.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.101
Forward Price Earnings7.7882
Stock Based Compensation23.7 M

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When running Cerence's price analysis, check to measure Cerence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerence is operating at the current time. Most of Cerence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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