Corecivic Stock Performance

CXW Stock  USD 20.07  0.06  0.30%   
CoreCivic has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.88, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. CoreCivic returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CoreCivic is expected to follow. CoreCivic right now shows a risk of 2.2%. Please confirm CoreCivic value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if CoreCivic will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CoreCivic are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, CoreCivic may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.30)
Five Day Return
(0.35)
Year To Date Return
5.52
Ten Year Return
(28.73)
All Time Return
(79.15)
Last Split Factor
2:1
Dividend Date
2020-04-15
Ex Dividend Date
2020-03-31
Last Split Date
2007-07-09
1
CoreCivic Announces 200 Million Increase to Share Repurchase Authorization
11/10/2025
2
SuperCom wins state-level Department of Corrections contract SPCB
11/19/2025
3
Disposition of 4000 shares by Stacia Hylton of CoreCivic at 21.69 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
4
Winners And Losers Of Q3 RB Global Vs The Rest Of The Business Services Supplies Stocks
12/04/2025
5
Disposition of 46361 shares by Anthony Grande of CoreCivic at 18.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
6
Former Virginia Corrections Boss Sentenced For Helping Fugitive Boyfriend Evade Arrest
12/16/2025
7
Does CoreCivics New CCRO Role Signal a Deeper Bet on Reentry-Led Operations - Yahoo Finance
12/23/2025
8
Armor Healths Data Driven Approach to Patient Care Secures New Ohio Agreement Providing Healthcare and Mental Health Services for Detainees at the Corrections C...
01/06/2026
9
New Hampshire Corrections Says 3 Prior Fugitives Of The Week Are Now In Custody
01/07/2026
10
Is CoreCivic Attractive After Recent Share Price Pullback And Valuation Checks
01/14/2026
11
Will Speculation Over a Naval Supply Contract Reshape CoreCivics Government-Partner Narrative
01/21/2026
12
Acquisition by Lucibeth Mayberry of 28140 shares of CoreCivic subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow129 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-53.8 M

CoreCivic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,837  in CoreCivic on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  170.00  from holding CoreCivic or generate 9.25% return on investment over 90 days. CoreCivic is generating 0.1697% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.2016% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than CoreCivic, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CoreCivic is expected to generate 2.99 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

CoreCivic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CoreCivic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.07 90 days 20.07 
about 7.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CoreCivic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.93 (This CoreCivic probability density function shows the probability of CoreCivic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CoreCivic has a beta of 0.88 suggesting CoreCivic market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CoreCivic is expected to follow. Additionally CoreCivic has an alpha of 0.1166, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CoreCivic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CoreCivic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoreCivic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CoreCivic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8820.0722.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8916.0822.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4120.6022.79
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.1929.8833.16
Details

CoreCivic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CoreCivic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CoreCivic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CoreCivic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CoreCivic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

CoreCivic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CoreCivic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CoreCivic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will Speculation Over a Naval Supply Contract Reshape CoreCivics Government-Partner Narrative

CoreCivic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CoreCivic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CoreCivic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CoreCivic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments107.5 M

CoreCivic Fundamentals Growth

CoreCivic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CoreCivic, and CoreCivic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CoreCivic Stock performance.

About CoreCivic Performance

Evaluating CoreCivic's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if CoreCivic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CoreCivic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 6.81  13.32 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about CoreCivic performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CoreCivic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CoreCivic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will Speculation Over a Naval Supply Contract Reshape CoreCivics Government-Partner Narrative
Evaluating CoreCivic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CoreCivic's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CoreCivic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CoreCivic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CoreCivic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CoreCivic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CoreCivic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CoreCivic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CoreCivic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CoreCivic's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CoreCivic's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for CoreCivic Stock Analysis

When running CoreCivic's price analysis, check to measure CoreCivic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CoreCivic is operating at the current time. Most of CoreCivic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CoreCivic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CoreCivic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CoreCivic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.