CoreCivic Valuation

CXW Stock  USD 18.51  0.02  0.11%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. CoreCivic shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.36 per share. The current price of the firm is $18.51. Our model approximates the value of CoreCivic from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.05 %, current valuation of 2.92 B, and Return On Equity of 0.0741 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting CoreCivic's valuation include:
Price Book
1.3179
Enterprise Value
2.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.7804
Price Sales
0.9498
Forward PE
31.8471
Fairly Valued
Today
18.51
Please note that CoreCivic's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of CoreCivic is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing CoreCivic's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the CoreCivic stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of CoreCivic. Since CoreCivic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CoreCivic Stock. However, CoreCivic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.51 Real  18.36 Target  29.88 Hype  18.51 Naive  17.3
The intrinsic value of CoreCivic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence CoreCivic's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.36
Real Value
20.71
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of CoreCivic helps investors to forecast how CoreCivic stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of CoreCivic more accurately as focusing exclusively on CoreCivic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.260.240.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1618.5120.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.9517.3019.65
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.1929.8833.16
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use CoreCivic's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of CoreCivic's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against CoreCivic's closest peers.

CoreCivic Cash

62.11 Million

CoreCivic Revenue by Product

CoreCivic Total Value Analysis

CoreCivic is currently anticipated to have company total value of 2.92 B with market capitalization of 1.98 B, debt of 1.01 B, and cash on hands of 107.49 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the CoreCivic fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.92 B
1.98 B
1.01 B
107.49 M

CoreCivic Investor Information

About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CoreCivic has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of July 2007. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from CoreCivic's historical financial statements, CoreCivic may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

CoreCivic Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. CoreCivic has an asset utilization ratio of 66.91 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.67 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that CoreCivic is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

CoreCivic Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from CoreCivic's financial statements, CoreCivic's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess CoreCivic's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1986-03-31
Previous Quarter
38.5 M
Current Value
26.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
49.7 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, CoreCivic's Operating Profit Margin is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Profit Margin is likely to climb to 0.03 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 346.4 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.20.21
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.02510.0422
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For CoreCivic profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of CoreCivic to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well CoreCivic utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between CoreCivic's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of CoreCivic over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

CoreCivic Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of CoreCivic is estimated to be 0.238 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.255 to a high of 0.2625. CoreCivic's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.0. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for CoreCivic is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
CoreCivic is projected to generate 0.238 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. CoreCivic earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected CoreCivic EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on CoreCivic's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as CoreCivic, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

CoreCivic Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of CoreCivic's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of CoreCivic is estimated to be 0.238 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.255 to a high of 0.2625. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for CoreCivic is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.24
0.26
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.238
0.26
Highest

CoreCivic Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of CoreCivic's value are higher than the current market price of the CoreCivic stock. In this case, investors may conclude that CoreCivic is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and CoreCivic's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
369.69%
0.24
0.238
1.0

CoreCivic Ownership Allocation

CoreCivic holds a total of 104.58 Million outstanding shares. The majority of CoreCivic outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in CoreCivic to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in CoreCivic. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of CoreCivic as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

CoreCivic Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.96 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 68.87 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 495.19 M.

About CoreCivic Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of CoreCivic. We calculate exposure to CoreCivic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of CoreCivic's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit538.5 M346.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.21  0.20 

CoreCivic Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as CoreCivic does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.263
Forward Price Earnings31.8471

CoreCivic Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of CoreCivic and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value CoreCivic we look at many different elements of the entity such as CoreCivic's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as CoreCivic, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use CoreCivic's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes CoreCivic's worth.

Additional Tools for CoreCivic Stock Analysis

When running CoreCivic's price analysis, check to measure CoreCivic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CoreCivic is operating at the current time. Most of CoreCivic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CoreCivic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CoreCivic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CoreCivic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.