CoreCivic Stock Forward View
| CXW Stock | USD 18.75 0.22 1.19% |
CoreCivic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of CoreCivic's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CoreCivic, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.263 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0367 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.55 | Wall Street Target Price 29.875 |
Using CoreCivic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CoreCivic from the perspective of CoreCivic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CoreCivic using CoreCivic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CoreCivic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CoreCivic's stock price.
CoreCivic Short Interest
An investor who is long CoreCivic may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CoreCivic and may potentially protect profits, hedge CoreCivic with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 20.1211 | Short Percent 0.0299 | Short Ratio 3.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 18.827 |
CoreCivic Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CoreCivic on the next trading day is expected to be 17.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.69.CoreCivic Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CoreCivic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CoreCivic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CoreCivic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CoreCivic. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CoreCivic's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CoreCivic.
CoreCivic Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
CoreCivic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CoreCivic stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CoreCivic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CoreCivic stock will not fluctuate a lot when CoreCivic's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CoreCivic on the next trading day is expected to be 17.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.69. CoreCivic after-hype prediction price | USD 18.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CoreCivic | Build AI portfolio with CoreCivic Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CoreCivic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CoreCivic will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0406% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With CoreCivic trading at USD 18.75, that is roughly USD 0.007617 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CoreCivic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CoreCivic options at the current volatility level of 0.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 CoreCivic Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CoreCivic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CoreCivic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CoreCivic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CoreCivic's open interest, investors have to compare it to CoreCivic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CoreCivic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CoreCivic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CoreCivic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CoreCivic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CoreCivic using various technical indicators. When you analyze CoreCivic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the CoreCivic's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-12-31 | Previous Quarter 130.5 M | Current Value 71.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 73.1 M |
CoreCivic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CoreCivic on the next trading day is expected to be 17.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CoreCivic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CoreCivic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CoreCivic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CoreCivic | CoreCivic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CoreCivic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CoreCivic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CoreCivic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.09 and 19.80, respectively. We have considered CoreCivic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CoreCivic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CoreCivic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0996 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.29 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.6881 |
Predictive Modules for CoreCivic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoreCivic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CoreCivic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CoreCivic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CoreCivic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CoreCivic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CoreCivic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CoreCivic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CoreCivic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CoreCivic's historical news coverage. CoreCivic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.40 and 21.10, respectively. We have considered CoreCivic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CoreCivic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CoreCivic is based on 3 months time horizon.
CoreCivic Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CoreCivic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CoreCivic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CoreCivic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 13 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.75 | 18.75 | 0.00 |
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CoreCivic Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February CoreCivic is traded for 18.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. CoreCivic is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on CoreCivic is about 790.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.76. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.33. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CoreCivic has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of July 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CoreCivic to cross-verify your projections.CoreCivic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CoreCivic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CoreCivic's future price movements. Getting to know how CoreCivic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CoreCivic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.57 | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0 | 2.02 | (1.78) | 6.01 | |
| ADC | Agree Realty | 0.54 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.24 | (1.65) | 3.97 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | 0.39 | 7 per month | 0.94 | (0.02) | 1.79 | (1.28) | 4.65 | |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.22 | (3.19) | 8.01 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.48 | 0.16 | 1.89 | (1.08) | 3.57 | |
| LTC | LTC Properties | 0.35 | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 1.49 | (1.62) | 4.34 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.12 | 11 per month | 1.48 | 0.01 | 4.19 | (2.47) | 11.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for CoreCivic
For every potential investor in CoreCivic, whether a beginner or expert, CoreCivic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CoreCivic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CoreCivic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CoreCivic's price trends.CoreCivic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CoreCivic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CoreCivic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CoreCivic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CoreCivic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CoreCivic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CoreCivic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CoreCivic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CoreCivic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CoreCivic Risk Indicators
The analysis of CoreCivic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CoreCivic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting corecivic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Variance | 5.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CoreCivic
The number of cover stories for CoreCivic depends on current market conditions and CoreCivic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CoreCivic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CoreCivic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CoreCivic Short Properties
CoreCivic's future price predictability will typically decrease when CoreCivic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CoreCivic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CoreCivic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CoreCivic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.5 M |
Additional Tools for CoreCivic Stock Analysis
When running CoreCivic's price analysis, check to measure CoreCivic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CoreCivic is operating at the current time. Most of CoreCivic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CoreCivic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CoreCivic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CoreCivic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.