Dillards Stock Performance

DDS Stock  USD 607.56  0.98  0.16%   
Dillards has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.64, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dillards' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dillards is expected to be smaller as well. Dillards right now shows a risk of 3.03%. Please confirm Dillards downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Dillards will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dillards are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively inconsistent fundamental indicators, Dillards may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.16)
Five Day Return
(4.97)
Year To Date Return
(4.61)
Ten Year Return
766.46
All Time Return
132.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.002
Payout Ratio
0.8438
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.2
Dividend Date
2026-02-02
 
Dillards dividend paid on 3rd of November 2025
11/03/2025
1
Dillards, Inc. to Report Third Quarter and Year-to-Date Results
11/12/2025
2
Acquisition by Alex Dillard of tradable shares of Dillards, at 416.79 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
3
The Inner Circle acknowledges, Roxene S. Gascoigne, DDS as a Pinnacle Lifetime Member
11/18/2025
4
Red Robin Stock Down 33 percent in 6 Months Time to Buy the Dip
12/03/2025
5
Disposition of 800 shares by James Freeman of Dillards subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
6
Partnership Between RTI and Vector Enables Efficient Development and Testing of DDS-Based Applications
12/22/2025
7
ANASTASIA BEVERLY HILLS COMPLETES RECAPITALIZATION TRANSACTION
12/24/2025
8
Acquisition by Drue Matheny of tradable shares of Dillards at 632.11 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
 
Dillards dividend paid on 5th of January 2026
01/05/2026
10
Papa Johns Launches AI-Powered Omnichannel Ordering With Google Cloud
01/12/2026
11
Why Dillards Shares Are Falling Today
01/14/2026
12
Heres Why You Should Add QSR Stock to Your Portfolio Right Now
01/15/2026
13
Patricia Nash Designs Announces Partnership with El Roma Consulting to Expand Relaunched Footwear Collection
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow808.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-269.7 M

Dillards Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  57,706  in Dillards on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,050  from holding Dillards or generate 5.29% return on investment over 90 days. Dillards is generating 0.1295% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.0347% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Dillards, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dillards is expected to generate 4.06 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.06 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Dillards Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dillards Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 607.56 90 days 607.56 
about 70.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dillards to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.53 (This Dillards probability density function shows the probability of Dillards Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dillards has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dillards average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dillards will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dillards has an alpha of 0.07, implying that it can generate a 0.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dillards Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dillards

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dillards. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dillards' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
604.90607.93610.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
538.67541.70668.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
548.80551.84554.87
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
510.81561.33623.08
Details

Dillards Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dillards is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dillards' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dillards, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dillards within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
39.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Dillards Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dillards for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dillards can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dillards had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 5th of January 2026 Dillards paid $ 30.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Patricia Nash Designs Announces Partnership with El Roma Consulting to Expand Relaunched Footwear Collection

Dillards Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dillards Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dillards' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dillards' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.1 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Dillards Fundamentals Growth

Dillards Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dillards, and Dillards fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dillards Stock performance.

About Dillards Performance

Assessing Dillards' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Dillards' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Dillards is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 117.42  136.06 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.10 

Things to note about Dillards performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dillards for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dillards help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dillards had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 5th of January 2026 Dillards paid $ 30.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Patricia Nash Designs Announces Partnership with El Roma Consulting to Expand Relaunched Footwear Collection
Evaluating Dillards' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dillards' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dillards' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dillards' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dillards' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dillards' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dillards' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dillards' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dillards' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dillards' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dillards' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Dillards Stock Analysis

When running Dillards' price analysis, check to measure Dillards' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dillards is operating at the current time. Most of Dillards' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dillards' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dillards' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dillards to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.