Dillards Stock Technical Analysis
| DDS Stock | USD 608.95 21.99 3.49% |
As of the 5th of March, Dillards shows the Downside Deviation of 2.92, mean deviation of 1.99, and Coefficient Of Variation of 41278.34. Dillards technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Dillards downside deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and downside variance to decide if Dillards is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 608.95 per share. Given that Dillards has jensen alpha of (0.03), we urge you to verify Dillards's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Dillards Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Dillards, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to DillardsDillards' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Dillards Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 519.67 | Hold | 3 | Odds |
Most Dillards analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Dillards stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Dillards, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Dillards conference calls.
Is there potential for Broadline Retail market expansion? Will Dillards introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dillards. Projected growth potential of Dillards fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Dillards listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 1.1 | Earnings Share 36.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Understanding Dillards requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Dillards's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Dillards' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Dillards' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Dillards' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dillards should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Dillards' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Dillards 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dillards' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dillards.
| 12/05/2025 |
| 03/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dillards on December 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dillards or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dillards over 90 days. Dillards is related to or competes with Autoliv, Norwegian Cruise, Maplebear, Five Below, Vipshop Holdings, Gildan Activewear, and GameStop Corp. Dillards, Inc. operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United S... More
Dillards Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dillards' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dillards upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.16 |
Dillards Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dillards' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dillards' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dillards historical prices to predict the future Dillards' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.009 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dillards' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dillards March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.009 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0056 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 41278.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.26 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.68) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.48 |
Dillards Backtested Returns
Dillards secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0211, which denotes the company had a -0.0211 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dillards exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dillards' Downside Deviation of 2.92, coefficient of variation of 41278.34, and Mean Deviation of 1.99 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.79, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dillards' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dillards is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Dillards has a negative expected return of -0.0589%. Please make sure to confirm Dillards' downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Dillards performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
Dillards has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dillards time series from 5th of December 2025 to 19th of January 2026 and 19th of January 2026 to 5th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dillards price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Dillards price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 588.74 |
Dillards technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Dillards Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Dillards across different markets.
About Dillards Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Dillards on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dillards based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Dillards price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Dillards. By analyzing Dillards's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Dillards's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Dillards specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2014 | 2020 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00748 | 0.0548 | 0.0512 | 0.0537 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.24 | 1.15 | 1.44 | 1.52 |
Dillards March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Dillards help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dillards from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Dillards charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.009 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0056 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 41278.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.26 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.68) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.48 |
Dillards March 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dillards stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 608.95 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 608.95 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (11.00) |
Additional Tools for Dillards Stock Analysis
When running Dillards' price analysis, check to measure Dillards' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dillards is operating at the current time. Most of Dillards' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dillards' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dillards' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dillards to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.