Dillards Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DDS Stock | USD 436.85 10.49 2.46% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Dillards is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dillards given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dillards, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Dillards Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Dillards Stock please use our How to Invest in Dillards guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dillards and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Dillards. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
Dillards |
Execute Dillards Buy or Sell Advice
The Dillards recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dillards. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dillards or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dillards' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Dillards Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Dillards has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of November 2024 Dillards paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 200 shares by Phillip Watts of Dillards subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Dillards Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Dillards' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dillards' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dillards daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dillards price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dillards returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dillards.
| Mean Return | 0.42 | Value At Risk | -2.69 | Potential Upside | 5.34 | Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dillards historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Dillards Stock Institutional Investors
The Dillards' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Dillards' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 95.3 K | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 76.5 K | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 67.7 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 62.2 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 59.1 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 55.6 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 55.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 52.5 K | Hexagon Capital Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 49 K | Newport Trust Co. | 2024-09-30 | 4.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 546.5 K |
Dillards Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 63.4M | 377.2M | 7.6M | (40M) | 26.2M | 27.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 153.6M | 83.2M | 356.5M | (56.5M) | 148.0M | 75.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 261.7M | 192.5M | 1.2B | 828.2M | 750.6M | 788.2M | |
| Depreciation | 224.3M | 216.3M | 201.4M | 190M | 179.6M | 252.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 400K | 7.1M | (19M) | (24.4M) | (10.1M) | (9.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.5M | 14M | 305.2M | 271.3M | (338.6M) | (321.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 103.4M | 60.4M | 104.3M | 120.1M | 132.9M | 222.1M | |
| Net Income | 111.1M | (71.7M) | 862.5M | 891.6M | 738.8M | 775.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 277.1M | 360.3M | 716.8M | 660.3M | 808.3M | 848.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | (5.0M) | (3.9M) | (26.4M) | (15.3M) | (13.8M) | (14.5M) | |
| Investments | 2.3M | (48.4M) | 1.5M | (235.8M) | (115.6M) | (109.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | 8.6M | (11.4M) | 3.7M | (17.2M) | (15.5M) | (14.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (966K) | (1.2M) | (700K) | (44.8M) | (51.5M) | (54.1M) |
Dillards Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dillards or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dillards' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dillards stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Dillards Volatility Alert
Dillards has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.6 and kurtosis of 4.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dillards' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dillards' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Dillards Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Dillards' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dillards' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dillards and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dillards or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dillards' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dillards by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Dillards to competition |
| Fundamentals | Dillards | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.36 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.19 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 11.92 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 31.87 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 72.84 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.23 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.43 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.00 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.87 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.01 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.14 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 738.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 650.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 42.73 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 564.44 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.37 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.86 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 104.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 883.59 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.25 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 38.76 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.28) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 332.33 | |
| Beta | 0.88 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.78 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.05 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.38 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.67 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 100 shares by Chris Johnson of Dillards subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Dillards Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dillards . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6140.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6078 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 428.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 431.61 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 13.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 10.49 |
About Dillards Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Dillards? Buying financial instruments such as Dillards Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Dillards Stock Analysis
When running Dillards' price analysis, check to measure Dillards' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dillards is operating at the current time. Most of Dillards' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dillards' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dillards' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dillards to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.