Dollar General Stock Performance

DG Stock  USD 147.66  2.67  1.78%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Dollar General holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.09, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Dollar General returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dollar General is expected to follow. Please check Dollar General's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Dollar General's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dollar General are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Dollar General reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.32
Five Day Return
2.2
Year To Date Return
9.87
Ten Year Return
103.04
All Time Return
561.37
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0157
Payout Ratio
0.3576
Last Split Factor
1:4
Forward Dividend Rate
2.36
Dividend Date
2026-01-20
1
Insider Trading
11/14/2025
2
Disposition of 6583 shares by Tracey Herrmann of Dollar General at 92.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
3
What Dollar General s Earnings Beat and Raised Guidance Means For Shareholders
12/19/2025
4
Will Dollar Generals Shrink Improvement Drive Further Margin Gains
01/06/2026
5
Jim Cramer Says Dollar Stores Like Dollar General Are Wall Street Faves
01/12/2026
6
Dollar General Corporation Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out
01/13/2026
7
Is Dillards Outperforming Other Retail-Wholesale Stocks This Year
01/14/2026
8
Dollar General Valuation Check After Sharply Divergent Short And Long Term Shareholder Returns
01/16/2026
 
Dollar General dividend paid on 20th of January 2026
01/20/2026
9
Should Franklin U.S. Mid Cap Multifactor Index ETF Be on Your Investing Radar
01/21/2026
10
Roland DG TY-300 Wins BLI 2026 Pick Award from Keypoint Intelligence for Outstanding Direct-to-Film Performance
01/22/2026
11
What You Need To Know Ahead of Dollar Generals Earnings Release
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow537.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B

Dollar General Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,949  in Dollar General on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,817  from holding Dollar General or generate 48.42% return on investment over 90 days. Dollar General is generating 0.6856% of daily returns and assumes 2.7602% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 24% of stocks are less risky than Dollar on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 87% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Dollar General is expected to generate 3.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Dollar General Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dollar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 147.66 90 days 147.66 
about 8.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dollar General to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.92 (This Dollar General probability density function shows the probability of Dollar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 suggesting Dollar General market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dollar General is expected to follow. Additionally Dollar General has an alpha of 0.4914, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dollar General Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dollar General

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dollar General. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
149.50152.24154.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
147.57150.31153.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
150.07152.82155.56
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
125.97138.43153.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dollar General. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dollar General's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dollar General's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dollar General.

Dollar General Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dollar General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dollar General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dollar General, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dollar General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
19.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Dollar General Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dollar General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dollar General can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of January 2026 Dollar General paid $ 0.59 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What You Need To Know Ahead of Dollar Generals Earnings Release

Dollar General Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dollar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dollar General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dollar General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding220 M
Cash And Short Term Investments932.6 M

Dollar General Fundamentals Growth

Dollar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dollar General, and Dollar General fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dollar Stock performance.

About Dollar General Performance

By analyzing Dollar General's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Dollar General's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Dollar General has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dollar General has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 108.25  112.16 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.09 
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.15 

Things to note about Dollar General performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dollar General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dollar General help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of January 2026 Dollar General paid $ 0.59 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What You Need To Know Ahead of Dollar Generals Earnings Release
Evaluating Dollar General's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dollar General's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dollar General's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dollar General's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dollar General's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dollar General's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dollar General's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dollar General's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dollar General's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dollar General's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dollar General's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Dollar General's price analysis, check to measure Dollar General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar General is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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