Duke Energy Stock Performance

DUK Stock  USD 128.20  3.15  2.52%   
Duke Energy has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Duke Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Duke Energy is likely to outperform the market. Duke Energy right now shows a risk of 0.96%. Please confirm Duke Energy downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Duke Energy will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Duke Energy are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Duke Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.66
Five Day Return
3.16
Year To Date Return
9.16
Ten Year Return
68.04
All Time Return
685.54
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0332
Payout Ratio
0.6709
Last Split Factor
1:3
Forward Dividend Rate
4.26
Dividend Date
2026-03-16
 
Duke Energy dividend paid on 16th of December 2025
12/16/2025
1
Acquisition by Louis Renjel of tradable shares of Duke Energy subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
2
Almost 810K without power as winter storm pummels US
01/26/2026
3
Spire Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Financial Performance and Strategic ...
02/03/2026
4
Duke Energy Ties Workforce Grants And Tax AI To Long Term Execution
02/06/2026
5
Acquisition by T Gillespie of 16263 shares of Duke Energy subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
6
Duke Energy Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
02/10/2026
7
Duke Energy Ohio president talks rising utility bills, supply and regs
02/11/2026
8
Duke Energy earned nearly 5B in 2025. It is still requesting a rate hike.
02/12/2026
9
Duke Energy Corporation DUK Position Increased by Metis Global Partners LLC
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow421 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-14.3 B

Duke Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,120  in Duke Energy on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  700.00  from holding Duke Energy or generate 5.78% return on investment over 90 days. Duke Energy is generating 0.0982% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.9593% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than Duke, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Duke Energy is expected to generate 1.22 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Duke Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Duke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 128.20 90 days 128.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duke Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Duke Energy probability density function shows the probability of Duke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Duke Energy has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Duke Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Duke Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Duke Energy has an alpha of 0.0944, implying that it can generate a 0.0944 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Duke Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Duke Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duke Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duke Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.25128.21129.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.63117.59141.01
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
122.31134.41149.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.501.211.35
Details

Duke Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duke Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duke Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duke Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duke Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
3.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Duke Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duke Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duke Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duke Energy has 90.87 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.69, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Duke to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Duke Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 70.0% of Duke Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Duke Energy Corporation DUK Position Increased by Metis Global Partners LLC

Duke Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duke Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duke Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding777 M
Cash And Short Term Investments245 M

Duke Energy Fundamentals Growth

Duke Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Duke Energy, and Duke Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Duke Stock performance.

About Duke Energy Performance

By examining Duke Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Duke Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Duke Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 75.59  60.80 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.10 

Things to note about Duke Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duke Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Duke Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duke Energy has 90.87 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.69, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Duke to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Duke Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 70.0% of Duke Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Duke Energy Corporation DUK Position Increased by Metis Global Partners LLC
Evaluating Duke Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Duke Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Duke Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Duke Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Duke Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Duke Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Duke Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Duke Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Duke Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Duke Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Duke Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Duke Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Duke Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Duke Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Duke Energy Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Duke Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
For more information on how to buy Duke Stock please use our How to buy in Duke Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duke Energy. Projected growth potential of Duke fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Duke Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
4.22
Earnings Share
6.31
Revenue Per Share
41.489
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
Duke Energy's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Duke's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Duke Energy's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Duke Energy's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Duke Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Duke Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Duke Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.