First Financial Bancorp Stock Performance

FFBC Stock  USD 30.36  0.40  1.34%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Financial holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.09, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Financial is expected to follow. Please check First Financial's potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether First Financial's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Financial Bancorp are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, First Financial exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.34
Five Day Return
0.0329
Year To Date Return
21
Ten Year Return
77.44
All Time Return
969.01
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0326
Payout Ratio
0.3379
Last Split Factor
105:100
Forward Dividend Rate
0.99
Dividend Date
2026-03-16
 
First Financial dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
1
Disposition of 11500 shares by Archie Brown of First Financial at 26.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
2
Disposition of 13500 shares by Archie Brown of First Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
3
Disposition of 157 shares by Myers Malcolm A of First Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
4
Disposition of 5342 shares by Woods Karen B of First Financial at 25.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/30/2025
5
First Financial Bancorp Nasdaq Today Local Finance Anchor
01/16/2026
6
First Financial Bancorp Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Record Earnings and Strategic ...
01/29/2026
7
First Financial Bancorp Earnings Growth Acceleration Challenges Cautious Narratives
01/30/2026
8
Disposition of 1821 shares by Gregory Harris of First Financial at 29.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
9
5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From First Financial Bancorps Q4 Earnings Call
02/04/2026
10
A Look At First Financial Bancorp Valuation After Earnings Update And New US79.3m Shelf Registration
02/05/2026
11
First Financial Bancorp. Receives Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
02/10/2026
12
Disposition of 10000 shares by Woods Karen B of First Financial at 30.28 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/13/2026
13
Insider Selling First Financial Bancorp. CAO Sells 302,800.00 in Stock
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow213.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1 B

First Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,406  in First Financial Bancorp on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  630.00  from holding First Financial Bancorp or generate 26.18% return on investment over 90 days. First Financial Bancorp is currently generating 0.3945% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.609% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial is expected to generate 2.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

First Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.36 90 days 30.36 
nearly 4.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.75 (This First Financial Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This usually indicates First Financial Bancorp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Financial is expected to follow. Additionally First Financial Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2885, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Financial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9130.5232.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3233.1234.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4029.0130.62
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.1232.0035.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Financial Bancorp.

First Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Financial Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

First Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Financial Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Insider Selling First Financial Bancorp. CAO Sells 302,800.00 in Stock

First Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.2 B

First Financial Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Financial, and First Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Financial Performance

By analyzing First Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.13 

Things to note about First Financial Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Financial Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Insider Selling First Financial Bancorp. CAO Sells 302,800.00 in Stock
Evaluating First Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Financial's price analysis, check to measure First Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Financial is operating at the current time. Most of First Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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