First Bancshares Stock Performance

FUSB Stock  USD 15.49  0.44  2.76%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Bancshares holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.33, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Bancshares' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Bancshares is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Bancshares' semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Bancshares' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancshares are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal basic indicators, First Bancshares sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.76)
Five Day Return
5.02
Year To Date Return
11.04
Ten Year Return
80.96
All Time Return
74.44
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0176
Payout Ratio
0.4389
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.28
Dividend Date
2026-01-02
1
Will Business First Bancshares Inc. stock go up soon - Inflation Watch Weekly Stock Performance Updates - newser.com
11/06/2025
2
Acquisition by Thomas Elley of 6100 shares of First Bancshares at 8.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/13/2025
3
Acquisition by Pierce Staci of 500 shares of First Bancshares at 13.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
4
Disposition of 3000 shares by Beverly Dozier of First Bancshares at 8.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
5
Acquisition by Pierce Staci of 250 shares of First Bancshares at 13.83 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
6
Acquisition by Gordon Stephen Nathaniel of 1000 shares of First Bancshares at 13.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
7
Acquisition by Field Robert C of 3000 shares of First Bancshares at 13.59 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2025
8
Truxton and First Us Bancsh Head-To-Head Review
11/28/2025
9
Acquisition by Field Robert C of 1000 shares of First Bancshares at 13.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
10
Those who invested in First US Bancshares three years ago are up 68
12/02/2025
11
Insider Selling Southern First Bancshares Director Sells 1,000 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat
12/10/2025
12
Disposition of 11000 shares by James House of First Bancshares at 14.11 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
13
Californias Community West to acquire United Security in 191.9M deal
12/18/2025
14
First Us Bancsh Short Interest Down 28.7 percent in December
12/29/2025
15
Acquisition by Briggs Robert S of tradable shares of First Bancshares subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
 
First Bancshares dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
16
Disposition of 1500 shares by Meigs Jack W of First Bancshares at 8.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
17
Southern First Bancshares earnings beat by 0.26, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com
01/22/2026
18
Disposition of 1500 shares by Mcphearson John Lee of First Bancshares at 8.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
19
Disposition of 1500 shares by Wilson Bruce N of First Bancshares at 8.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
20
Business First Bancshares Sets New 1-Year High - Whats Next - MarketBeat
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow50.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-30.3 M

First Bancshares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,314  in First Bancshares on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  235.00  from holding First Bancshares or generate 17.88% return on investment over 90 days. First Bancshares is currently generating 0.2943% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.0132% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancshares is expected to generate 2.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

First Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.49 90 days 15.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Bancshares to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancshares has a beta of 0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Bancshares has an alpha of 0.3728, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Bancshares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4315.4317.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9417.6719.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9015.8917.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2715.3616.46
Details

First Bancshares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

First Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 2nd of January 2026 First Bancshares paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Business First Bancshares Sets New 1-Year High - Whats Next - MarketBeat

First Bancshares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments177.5 M

First Bancshares Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Bancshares, and First Bancshares fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Bancshares Performance

By analyzing First Bancshares' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Bancshares' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Bancshares has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Bancshares has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.08 

Things to note about First Bancshares performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 2nd of January 2026 First Bancshares paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Business First Bancshares Sets New 1-Year High - Whats Next - MarketBeat
Evaluating First Bancshares' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Bancshares' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Bancshares' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Bancshares' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Bancshares' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Bancshares' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Bancshares' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Bancshares' stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Bancshares' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Bancshares' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Bancshares' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running First Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure First Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of First Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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