GeoPark Stock Forward View
| GPRK Stock | USD 8.11 0.37 4.36% |
GeoPark Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although GeoPark's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of GeoPark's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of GeoPark fundamentals over time.
As of now, The value of relative strength index of GeoPark's share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GeoPark, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.66 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0833 | Wall Street Target Price 11.3167 |
Using GeoPark hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GeoPark from the perspective of GeoPark response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GeoPark using GeoPark's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GeoPark using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GeoPark's stock price.
GeoPark Short Interest
An investor who is long GeoPark may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GeoPark and may potentially protect profits, hedge GeoPark with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.0005 | Short Percent 0.031 | Short Ratio 2.43 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 7.6398 |
GeoPark Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GeoPark on the next trading day is expected to be 8.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.63.GeoPark Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GeoPark's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GeoPark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GeoPark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GeoPark. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GeoPark's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GeoPark.
GeoPark Implied Volatility | 1.29 |
GeoPark's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GeoPark stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GeoPark's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GeoPark stock will not fluctuate a lot when GeoPark's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GeoPark on the next trading day is expected to be 8.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.63. GeoPark after-hype prediction price | USD 8.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GeoPark to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 GeoPark Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GeoPark's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GeoPark's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GeoPark stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GeoPark's open interest, investors have to compare it to GeoPark's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GeoPark is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GeoPark. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
GeoPark Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GeoPark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GeoPark using various technical indicators. When you analyze GeoPark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GeoPark Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the GeoPark's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2011-09-30 | Previous Quarter 266 M | Current Value 197 M | Quarterly Volatility 53 M |
GeoPark Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GeoPark on the next trading day is expected to be 8.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GeoPark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GeoPark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GeoPark Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GeoPark | GeoPark Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GeoPark Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GeoPark's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GeoPark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.62 and 10.70, respectively. We have considered GeoPark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GeoPark stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GeoPark stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0791 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2037 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0264 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.6267 |
Predictive Modules for GeoPark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GeoPark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GeoPark After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GeoPark at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GeoPark or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GeoPark, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GeoPark Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GeoPark's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GeoPark's historical news coverage. GeoPark's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.59 and 10.63, respectively. We have considered GeoPark's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GeoPark is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GeoPark is based on 3 months time horizon.
GeoPark Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GeoPark is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GeoPark backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GeoPark, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.11 | 8.11 | 0.00 |
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GeoPark Hype Timeline
GeoPark is currently traded for 8.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. GeoPark is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on GeoPark is about 4233.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.10. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of GeoPark was currently reported as 4.04. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. GeoPark had 251:250 split on the 24th of February 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GeoPark to cross-verify your projections.GeoPark Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GeoPark's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GeoPark's future price movements. Getting to know how GeoPark's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GeoPark may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFR | Greenfire Resources | (0.30) | 8 per month | 3.47 | 0.05 | 5.87 | (6.78) | 14.81 | |
| WTI | WT Offshore | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.73 | (0.01) | 6.28 | (4.55) | 14.21 | |
| PNRG | PrimeEnergy | 0.23 | 9 per month | 2.36 | 0.14 | 5.49 | (4.10) | 15.84 | |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.16 | 3.46 | (2.45) | 11.12 | |
| FET | Forum Energy Technologies | (0.46) | 10 per month | 3.59 | 0.16 | 5.52 | (3.56) | 18.53 | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | (0.11) | 7 per month | 1.68 | 0.17 | 5.48 | (3.33) | 8.36 | |
| NC | NACCO Industries | 0.16 | 9 per month | 1.91 | 0.13 | 6.28 | (3.66) | 12.21 | |
| SD | SandRidge Energy | (0.17) | 25 per month | 1.67 | 0.22 | 4.01 | (2.46) | 10.99 | |
| BRY | Berry Petroleum Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.46 | (4.20) | 8.78 | |
| SGU | Star Gas Partners | 0.21 | 9 per month | 1.04 | 0.08 | 2.00 | (1.82) | 6.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for GeoPark
For every potential investor in GeoPark, whether a beginner or expert, GeoPark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GeoPark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GeoPark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GeoPark's price trends.GeoPark Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GeoPark stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GeoPark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GeoPark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GeoPark Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GeoPark stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GeoPark shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GeoPark stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GeoPark entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21892.16 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.28) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.76 |
GeoPark Risk Indicators
The analysis of GeoPark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GeoPark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting geopark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.91 | |||
| Variance | 15.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GeoPark
The number of cover stories for GeoPark depends on current market conditions and GeoPark's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GeoPark is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GeoPark's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GeoPark Short Properties
GeoPark's future price predictability will typically decrease when GeoPark's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GeoPark often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GeoPark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GeoPark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GeoPark to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy GeoPark Stock please use our How to buy in GeoPark Stock guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GeoPark. Market participants price GeoPark higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive GeoPark assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Dividend Share 0.471 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.22) |
Understanding GeoPark requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects GeoPark's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what GeoPark's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push GeoPark's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GeoPark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GeoPark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, GeoPark's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.