Amtd Digital Stock Performance

HKD Stock  USD 1.41  0.04  2.76%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.59, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AMTD Digital will likely underperform. AMTD Digital currently shows a risk of 10.75%. Please confirm AMTD Digital skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if AMTD Digital will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AMTD Digital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather conflicting forward-looking signals, AMTD Digital may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow135.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-75.5 M

AMTD Digital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  171.00  in AMTD Digital on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (30.00) from holding AMTD Digital or give up 17.54% of portfolio value over 90 days. AMTD Digital is generating 0.1047% of daily returns assuming volatility of 10.7452% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 96% of stocks are less volatile than AMTD, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AMTD Digital is expected to generate 14.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 14.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

AMTD Digital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AMTD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.41 90 days 1.41 
about 68.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMTD Digital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.49 (This AMTD Digital probability density function shows the probability of AMTD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AMTD Digital will likely underperform. Additionally AMTD Digital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AMTD Digital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AMTD Digital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMTD Digital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.4112.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.3512.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.5712.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.281.381.47
Details

AMTD Digital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMTD Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMTD Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMTD Digital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMTD Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0

AMTD Digital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMTD Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMTD Digital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMTD Digital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AMTD Digital may become a speculative penny stock
AMTD Digital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Domo, Amplitude, and LiveRamp Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know

AMTD Digital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMTD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMTD Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMTD Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding253.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments316.5 M

AMTD Digital Fundamentals Growth

AMTD Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AMTD Digital, and AMTD Digital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AMTD Stock performance.

About AMTD Digital Performance

By analyzing AMTD Digital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AMTD Digital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AMTD Digital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AMTD Digital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs and develops a digital platform to provide financial, media, content and marketing, and investment solutions in Asia. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Amtd Digital is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about AMTD Digital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AMTD Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AMTD Digital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMTD Digital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AMTD Digital may become a speculative penny stock
AMTD Digital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Domo, Amplitude, and LiveRamp Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
Evaluating AMTD Digital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AMTD Digital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AMTD Digital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AMTD Digital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AMTD Digital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AMTD Digital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AMTD Digital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AMTD Digital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AMTD Digital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AMTD Digital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AMTD Digital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for AMTD Stock analysis

When running AMTD Digital's price analysis, check to measure AMTD Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMTD Digital is operating at the current time. Most of AMTD Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMTD Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMTD Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMTD Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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