Harmonic Stock Performance

HLIT Stock  USD 10.10  0.48  4.99%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.51, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Harmonic will likely underperform. Harmonic right now retains a risk of 2.33%. Please check out Harmonic treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Harmonic will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Harmonic has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable forward indicators, Harmonic is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.99
Five Day Return
3.91
Year To Date Return
0.8
Ten Year Return
222.68
All Time Return
39.91
Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
1999-10-15
1
Disposition of 5803 shares by Ben-natan Nimrod of Harmonic subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
2
Disposition of 6645 shares by Walter Jankovic of Harmonic subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
3
A Look at Harmonics Valuation Following Telias Major Broadband Platform Upgrade
12/02/2025
4
Harmonic Shares Gap Up Heres Why
12/08/2025
5
Do Options Traders Know Something About Harmonic Stock We Dont
12/10/2025
6
Disposition of 20032 shares by Ben-natan Nimrod of Harmonic subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
7
Disposition of 6165 shares by Neven Haltmayer of Harmonic at 10.6051 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
8
Czech TV Elevates Video Streaming with Harmonic
12/16/2025
9
Is Harmonic Quietly Building a European Moat With Its XOS Streaming Platform
12/18/2025
10
Harmonic Inc Nasdaq Futures Signal Video Delivery Ecosystem Role
12/30/2025
11
Assessing Harmonic Valuation After A Year Of Weak Share Price Momentum
01/12/2026
12
Harmonic Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
01/30/2026
13
Harmonic Inc. Short Interest Up 26.4 percent in January - MarketBeat
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow84.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-9.2 M

Harmonic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,009  in Harmonic on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.00  from holding Harmonic or generate 0.1% return on investment over 90 days. Harmonic is currently generating 0.0282% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.3267% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Harmonic, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Harmonic is expected to generate 3.34 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Harmonic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Harmonic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.10 90 days 10.10 
about 34.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harmonic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.82 (This Harmonic probability density function shows the probability of Harmonic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.51 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Harmonic will likely underperform. Additionally Harmonic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Harmonic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Harmonic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harmonic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7910.1212.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5410.8713.20
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.7211.7913.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.130.14
Details

Harmonic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harmonic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harmonic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harmonic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harmonic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Harmonic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harmonic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harmonic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Harmonic is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Insider Trading

Harmonic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harmonic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harmonic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harmonic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments101.5 M

Harmonic Fundamentals Growth

Harmonic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Harmonic, and Harmonic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Harmonic Stock performance.

About Harmonic Performance

Assessing Harmonic's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Harmonic's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Harmonic is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 85.89  104.32 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.08 

Things to note about Harmonic performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Harmonic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Harmonic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Harmonic is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Insider Trading
Evaluating Harmonic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Harmonic's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Harmonic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Harmonic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Harmonic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Harmonic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Harmonic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Harmonic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Harmonic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Harmonic's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Harmonic's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Harmonic Stock Analysis

When running Harmonic's price analysis, check to measure Harmonic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmonic is operating at the current time. Most of Harmonic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmonic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmonic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmonic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.