Imperial Oil Stock Performance

IMO Stock  CAD 158.50  3.74  2.31%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Imperial Oil holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.48, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Imperial Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Imperial Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Imperial Oil's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Imperial Oil's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Imperial Oil are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Imperial Oil displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0214
Payout Ratio
0.338
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.48
Dividend Date
2026-04-01
1
What hedge fund moves indicate for Imperial Oil Limited stock - Weekly Gains Summary Technical Analysis for Trade Confirmation - Newser
12/04/2025
2
Imperial Oil Shares Rise on Strong Upstream Production Gains - Kalkine Media
12/09/2025
3
Imperial Oil Unveils Its Corporate Roadmap and Outlook for 2026 - Zacks Investment Research
12/16/2025
4
Analysts Trim Price Targets on Imperial Oil - Insider Monkey
12/31/2025
5
Imperial Oil Price Target Raised to C127.00 - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
6
Imperial Oil Schedules Q4 2025 Earnings Call Webcast - TipRanks
01/15/2026
7
Imperial Oil Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates Should You Buy - Yahoo Finance
01/23/2026
8
Imperial Oil to Report Q4 Earnings Whats in the Offing - TradingView
01/27/2026
9
Imperial Oil Is Increasing Its Dividend To CA0.87 - simplywall.st
02/03/2026
10
Cibc World Market Inc. Reduces Stock Position in Imperial Oil Limited IMO - MarketBeat
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow979 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.9 B
  

Imperial Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,797  in Imperial Oil on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,053  from holding Imperial Oil or generate 14.88% return on investment over 90 days. Imperial Oil is generating 0.247% of daily returns assuming 1.9825% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 17% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Imperial Oil, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Imperial Oil is expected to generate 2.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Imperial Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Imperial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 158.50 90 days 158.50 
about 1.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imperial Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.12 (This Imperial Oil probability density function shows the probability of Imperial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Imperial Oil has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Imperial Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Imperial Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Imperial Oil has an alpha of 0.2386, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Imperial Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Imperial Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
156.95158.93160.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
142.65175.51177.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.571.93
Details

Imperial Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imperial Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imperial Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imperial Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imperial Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
11.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Imperial Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imperial Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imperial Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cibc World Market Inc. Reduces Stock Position in Imperial Oil Limited IMO - MarketBeat

Imperial Oil Fundamentals Growth

Imperial Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Imperial Oil, and Imperial Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Imperial Stock performance.

About Imperial Oil Performance

By examining Imperial Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Imperial Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Imperial Oil is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 25.96  34.02 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.14 

Things to note about Imperial Oil performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Imperial Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Imperial Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cibc World Market Inc. Reduces Stock Position in Imperial Oil Limited IMO - MarketBeat
Evaluating Imperial Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Imperial Oil's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Imperial Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Imperial Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Imperial Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Imperial Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Imperial Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Imperial Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Imperial Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Imperial Oil's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Imperial Oil's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Imperial Oil offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Imperial Oil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Imperial Oil Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Imperial Oil Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Imperial Oil. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Imperial Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imperial Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Imperial Oil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.