Imperial Oil Stock Price Prediction
| IMO Stock | CAD 140.05 0.89 0.64% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8278 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.9415 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7369 | Wall Street Target Price 112.1177 |
Using Imperial Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Imperial Oil from the perspective of Imperial Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Imperial Oil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Imperial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Imperial Oil after-hype prediction price | CAD 140.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Imperial |
Imperial Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Imperial Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Imperial Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Imperial Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Imperial Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Imperial Oil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Imperial Oil's historical news coverage. Imperial Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 138.25 and 141.77, respectively. We have considered Imperial Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Imperial Oil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Imperial Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
Imperial Oil Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Imperial Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Imperial Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Imperial Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.76 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
140.05 | 140.01 | 0.03 |
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Imperial Oil Hype Timeline
Imperial Oil is currently traded for 140.05on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Imperial is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 140.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Imperial Oil is about 417.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 140.12. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Imperial Oil was currently reported as 47.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. Imperial Oil recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.83. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. The firm had 3:1 split on the 17th of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Imperial Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Imperial Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Imperial Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Imperial Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Imperial Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Imperial Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SU | Suncor Energy | (0.21) | 5 per month | 0.85 | 0.22 | 2.77 | (1.65) | 7.86 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | 1.14 | 9 per month | 0.75 | 0.08 | 2.06 | (1.26) | 4.83 | |
| CVE | Cenovus Energy | (0.49) | 3 per month | 1.82 | 0.04 | 3.65 | (2.70) | 8.64 | |
| ENB | Enbridge | (0.61) | 8 per month | 1.06 | (0.08) | 1.06 | (1.44) | 4.32 | |
| CCO | Cameco Corp | 2.07 | 10 per month | 2.36 | 0.13 | 5.20 | (4.43) | 29.89 | |
| PPL | Pembina Pipeline Corp | 0.28 | 8 per month | 1.31 | 0.02 | 1.47 | (1.55) | 6.75 | |
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources | 0.77 | 3 per month | 1.63 | 0.09 | 3.06 | (1.92) | 9.09 |
Imperial Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Imperial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Imperial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Imperial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Imperial Oil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Imperial Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Imperial Oil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Imperial Oil based on analysis of Imperial Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Imperial Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Imperial Oil's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0254 | 0.0264 | 0.0304 | 0.0248 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 0.9 |
Pair Trading with Imperial Oil
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Imperial Oil position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Imperial Oil will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Imperial Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Imperial Oil could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Imperial Oil when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Imperial Oil - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Imperial Oil to buy it.
The correlation of Imperial Oil is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Imperial Oil moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Imperial Oil moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Imperial Oil can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Imperial Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..