Imperial Oil Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| IMO Stock | CAD 103.68 2.24 2.11% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Imperial Oil is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Imperial Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Imperial Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Imperial and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Imperial Oil. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Imperial |
Execute Imperial Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Imperial recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Imperial Oil. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Imperial Oil or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Imperial Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Imperial Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Where Will Imperial Oil Stock Be in 1 Year - The Motley Fool Canada |
Imperial Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Imperial Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Imperial Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Imperial Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Imperial Oil price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Imperial Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Imperial Oil.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.47 | Potential Upside | 3.04 | Standard Deviation | 1.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Imperial Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Imperial Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 730M | (947M) | 1.4B | 1.6B | (2.9B) | (2.7B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.8B | (70M) | 4.4B | 9.0B | 1.9B | 1.0B | |
| Depreciation | 1.7B | 3.4B | 2.1B | 1.9B | 2.6B | 2.7B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (53M) | 158M | 371M | (276M) | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.6B | 868M | 1.1B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.8B | |
| Net Income | 2.2B | (1.9B) | 2.5B | 7.3B | 4.9B | 5.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.7B | 771M | 2.2B | 3.7B | 864M | 844.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | (74M) | 78M | 45M | (477M) | (688M) | (653.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 631M | 649M | 706M | 851M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Investments | (1.7B) | (802M) | (1.0B) | (618M) | (1.8B) | (1.7B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 9M | (20M) | (131M) | (1.0B) | (919.8M) | (873.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (176M) | (283M) | 657M | (240M) | (216M) | (205.2M) |
Imperial Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Imperial Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Imperial Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Imperial stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Imperial Oil Volatility Alert
Imperial Oil has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.16 and kurtosis of 0.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Imperial Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Imperial Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Imperial Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Imperial Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Imperial Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Imperial Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Imperial Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Imperial Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imperial Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Imperial Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Imperial Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0906 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 58.21 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 523.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 72.02 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 25.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.6 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.91 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.35 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 48.3 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 12.09 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 8.35 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.89 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.75 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.32 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.33 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.23 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 45.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.73 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.11 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.53 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 103.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.77 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 54.27 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 41.2 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 21.91 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.7 B | 1.48 B |
Imperial Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Imperial . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Imperial Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Imperial Oil? Buying financial instruments such as Imperial Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Imperial Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.