Chicago Atlantic BDC Stock Performance

LIEN Stock   9.01  -0.33  -3.53%   
Chicago Atlantic's price-return history is consolidated with risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe and alpha. Across the 3 months window, Chicago Atlantic shows an expected return of -0.14% and pays a 14.99% yield.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
For the recent 90-day horizon, Chicago Atlantic BDC failed to convert its risk exposure into positive performance. This reading is typically reviewed alongside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior. Over the measured period, Chicago Atlantic has produced below-breakeven returns relative to its volatility profile. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-3.53
 Five Day Return
-4.25
 Year To Date Return
-12.78
 Ten Year Return
-35.64
 All Time Return
-35.64
 Forward Dividend Yield
15.0%
 Payout Ratio
117.2%
 Forward Dividend Rate
1.36
 Dividend Date
2026-04-14
 Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-30

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 992.00 in Chicago Atlantic BDC on February 8, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 91.00 , a decline of 9.17% over 90 days. Chicago Atlantic BDC does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 1.31% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Chicago Atlantic exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 89% of comparable stocks, and LIEN has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given a 90-day horizon, LIEN has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, LIEN is 1.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.11%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Historical pricing patterns in Chicago Atlantic Stock are sometimes evaluated to determine whether current levels appear stretched relative to prior trading behavior. Some stocks trade persistently above or below historical averages because of structural or sentiment-driven factors.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
9.01 90 days 9.01
close to 99 %
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Chicago Atlantic moving above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Chicago Atlantic Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Chicago Atlantic Stock over this horizon.
Given a 90-day horizon, Chicago Atlantic has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Chicago Atlantic's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Chicago Atlantic BDC tends to be smaller as well. Additionally, Chicago Atlantic BDC has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. LIEN is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chicago Atlantic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chicago Atlantic

Forecasting Chicago Atlantic BDC requires combining quantitative signals with evolving sentiment and fundamental trends. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Chicago Atlantic BDC.
Mean reversion is the tendency of Chicago Atlantic's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Chicago Atlantic's price extremes to fundamental value.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
7.658.9610.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
8.8010.1111.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.608.9010.21
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details
Chicago Atlantic is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Chicago Atlantic leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Chicago Atlantic. Chicago Atlantic has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1249
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.0845

Investor Alerts and Insights

Targeted alerts for Chicago Atlantic provide the responsiveness needed to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Chicago Atlantic BDC help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.
Chicago Atlantic BDC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chicago Atlantic BDC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 14th of April 2026 Chicago Atlantic paid 0.34 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Chicago Atlantic BDC to Release Quarterly Earnings on Thursday - Market Beat

Price Density Drivers

Price movements in Chicago Atlantic are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.82 million
Cash And Short Term Investments2.93 billion

Chicago Atlantic Fundamentals Growth

The market price of Chicago Atlantic Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Chicago Atlantic's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Chicago Atlantic Stock pricing.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Benchmark comparison for Chicago Atlantic clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Outperformance relative to the benchmark may reflect exposure tilt, selection effect, or timing. Chicago Atlantic shows ROE of 11.01%, ROA of 6.2% (TTM) vs 0.01% (last reported).

Chicago Atlantic BDC inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board