Chicago Atlantic BDC Stock Analysis
| LIEN Stock | 9.01 -0.33 -3.53% |
At the current market price of $9.01, LIEN trades below the analyst target price of $11.0. For LIEN, the central analytical question is whether the current price accurately reflects intrinsic value. Fundamental metrics and price behavior for LIEN are examined below to identify alignment or divergence between the two signals.
In the latest reported period, Net Debt is holding steady around $22.07 billion. Also, Net Debt To EBITDA is holding steady around 639.04x. Rising leverage combined with declining revenue creates a compounding risk dynamic for Chicago Atlantic. The gap between return on invested capital and the weighted average cost of debt determines whether leverage creates or destroys value. Debt Ratio | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 0.07 | Current Value 0.07 | Quarterly Volatility 0 |
Macro event markers
Latest disclosures for Chicago Atlantic BDC show $54.3 million in Total Revenue, $2.5 million in Net Income, and $36.3 million in Operating Income.
Chicago Atlantic |
Stock Analysis Notes
About 34.0% of LIEN shares are owned by institutional investors. LIEN has price-to-book ratio of 0.7. At this Price to Book (P/B), the stock trades below book value, which may reflect distressed fundamentals or potential undervaluation. Chicago Atlantic had its last dividend issued on the 30th of March 2026. Latest disclosures for Chicago Atlantic BDC show $342.0 billion in Total Assets, a Return On Tangible Assets of 0.01%, and a Debt To Assets of 5.9%.Retained Earnings | 26,933 |
Investor Insights and Alerts
| Chicago Atlantic BDC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chicago Atlantic BDC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 14th of April 2026 Chicago Atlantic paid 0.34 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Chicago Atlantic BDC to Release Quarterly Earnings on Thursday - Market Beat |
Largest EPS Surprises
EPS surprise history helps explain abrupt moves in Chicago Atlantic's price behavior. A negative gap to consensus tends to pressure valuation, while a positive gap can support re-rating. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-11-08 | 2024-09-30 | -0.01 | -0.0266 | -0.0166 | 166 | ||
2025-05-14 | 2025-03-31 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 17 | ||
2025-11-13 | 2025-09-30 | 0.355 | 0.42 | 0.065 | 18 |
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
ESG scores for Chicago Atlantic BDC track environmental, social, and governance factors that can affect operations and valuation over time. The business currently sits in the Financial Services sector and the Asset Management industry. ESG data works best as a risk and quality layer rather than a standalone score.
Market Capitalization
At roughly $205.61 million, Chicago Atlantic BDC belongs to the small-cap segment of asset management & custody banks. Supplemental capitalization data includes enterprise value near $227.68 million and about 22.82 million shares outstanding.Profitability
Profitability analysis for Chicago Atlantic BDC focuses on how well revenue converts into operating income, net income, and free cash flow. This separates genuinely strong businesses from names that appear cheap only because the market expects weak results. LIEN has Profit Margin (PM) of 61.0%. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 57.0%.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate |
Management Efficiency
LIEN has return on total asset (ROA) of 6.2% suggesting that deployed capital is earning a positive return. This is on par with sector averages. Chicago Atlantic also reports a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 11.01%, suggesting that equity holders are earning on their invested capital.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 13,295.71 | 13,960.49 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 13,295.71 | 13,960.49 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 645.87x | 678.16x | |
| Enterprise Value | $91.94 million | $96.54 million |
Management execution at Chicago Atlantic BDC is evaluated by whether strategy, financial discipline, and operating results are moving in the same direction. In practice, management analysis provides context for determining whether recent results reflect skill, favorable timing, or a mix of both.
Operating Margin | Three Month Return -12.44 | Short Long Term Debt Total | Three Year Return 4.52 | Expected Return -0.14 |
Technical Drivers
Market data as of the 10th of May shows Chicago Atlantic priced at 9.01 per share. Measured indicators report Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.09, standard deviation of 1.31, and Mean Deviation of 0.9805. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function.The Double Exponential Moving Average indicator was developed by Patrick Mulloy. It consists of a single exponential moving average and a double exponential moving average. This indicator is more responsive to Chicago Atlantic BDC changes than the simple moving average.
Insider Trading Activities
Insider disclosures for Chicago Atlantic BDC show how people closest to the business are behaving as market expectations change. The goal is to tell routine pay-related sales apart from trades that reflect genuine conviction.
Outstanding Bonds
Corporate bonds issued by Chicago Atlantic BDC matter because they shape interest expense, maturity risk, and the flexibility management has during tighter credit conditions. Longer-dated obligations can improve financing stability, but they also leave investors more exposed if the underlying business weakens before the debt matures.
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley Jul Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View |
Predictive Daily Indicators
Intraday indicators for Chicago Atlantic BDC suit investors who need a shorter decision cycle and tighter control over timing. The key question is whether the signal helps manage exposure in real time, not whether it predicts every tick.
Corporate Filings
| 30th of April 2026 Other Reports | ||
8K | 14th of April 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
| 19th of March 2026 Other Reports | ||
| 27th of February 2026 Other Reports | ||
8K | 19th of December 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
8K | 1st of December 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
10Q | 13th of November 2025 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | |
F4 | 22nd of September 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities |
Forecast Models
A forecast for Chicago Atlantic BDC starts with historical data. Prices often signal trend and momentum shifts before fundamentals catch up. Financial data rarely stays stable for long, so the model is best used as a probability tool, not a price promise.Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators
Chicago Atlantic BDC financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Chicago Atlantic has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Chicago Atlantic's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 4 | Poor | View |
| Beneish M Score | -3.01 | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Total Assets Over Time
Assets Financed by Debt
Debt finances 5.85% of LIEN's total assets — a relatively low share of the asset base, though leverage can still appear elevated relative to peers when measured against equity rather than total assets.Chicago Atlantic Debt Ratio | 5.85 |
Corporate Bonds Issued
Chicago Atlantic Net Debt
Net Debt | $23.17 billion |
Stock Analysis Methodology
As a micro-cap equity, Chicago Atlantic is scored on valuation, solvency, and operating efficiency. Chicago Atlantic operates in Asset Management & Custody Banks within Financial Services. A beta of 0.2921 indicates low sensitivity to broad market moves. Chicago Atlantic trades at P/B of 0.7, P/S of 3.79.
Chicago Atlantic BDC figures are aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Current Chicago Atlantic Analyst Rating Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 11.0 | Hold | 1 | Odds |
Current and historical analyst recommendations for Chicago Atlantic BDC are summarized from research sources. Average analyst consensus is included for context. Wall Street analysts covering Chicago Atlantic BDC typically update price targets and ratings quarterly. A rising consensus or cluster of upgrades for Chicago Atlantic often signals improving fundamental momentum.
Chicago Atlantic Stock Analysis Indicators
Diagnostics snapshot includes 22 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Total Stockholder Equity, Net Borrowings.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 23.93 million | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 303.41 billion | |
| Net Borrowings | 25 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.93 billion | |
| Net Invested Capital | 328.41 million | |
| Cash | 2.93 billion | |
| 50 Day M A | 9.5863 | |
| Net Interest Income | 49.08 million | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 25.07 billion | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 6.2696 | |
| Interest Expense | 1.25 million | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.82 million | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -52.6 billion | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.034 | |
| Free Cash Flow | -20.48 billion | |
| Accounts Payable | 7.78 million | |
| Net Debt | 22.07 billion | |
| Depreciation | -2.91 billion | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 19.77 million | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 335.89 billion | |
| Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 342 billion | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 335.63 billion |