Lemonade Stock Performance
| LMND Stock | USD 61.96 6.53 9.53% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.63, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lemonade will likely underperform. At this point, Lemonade has a negative expected return of -0.0185%. Please make sure to verify Lemonade's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Lemonade performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Lemonade has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Lemonade is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (9.53) | Five Day Return (12.57) | Year To Date Return (18.43) | Ten Year Return (10.73) | All Time Return (10.73) |
1 | Disposition of 18930 shares by John Peters of Lemonade at 72.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
2 | Lemonade, Inc. NYSE Composite Captures Insurtech Momentum | 12/16/2025 |
3 | Lemonade, Inc.s large institutional owners must be happy as stock continues to impress, up 11 percent over the past week | 01/07/2026 |
4 | Why Lemonade Stock Jumped 17 percent Today | 01/22/2026 |
5 | Lemonade Shares Down 7.4 percent After Insider Selling | 01/26/2026 |
6 | Lemonade To Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results | 01/27/2026 |
7 | After Leaping 29 percent Lemonade, Inc. Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar | 01/29/2026 |
8 | How Lemonade Stock Gained 22 percent Last Month - The Motley Fool | 02/02/2026 |
9 | Lemonades AI Push Drives 140 percent Stock Surge and a Fresh 7 Million Fund Investment | 02/03/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 38155 shares by John Peters of Lemonade at 11.61 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/04/2026 |
11 | Citizens Expects Positive Q4 Results for Lemonade Driven by Pricing Trends, Lower Losses | 02/11/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 271.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 40.6 M |
Lemonade Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,707 in Lemonade on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (511.00) from holding Lemonade or give up 7.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lemonade is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.8259% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Lemonade, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Lemonade Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Lemonade Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 61.96 | 90 days | 61.96 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lemonade to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lemonade probability density function shows the probability of Lemonade Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Lemonade Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lemonade
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lemonade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lemonade Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lemonade is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lemonade's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lemonade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lemonade within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Lemonade Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lemonade for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lemonade can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lemonade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lemonade has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 526.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (202.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 343.1 M. | |
| Lemonade currently holds about 285.5 M in cash with (11.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.14. | |
| Lemonade has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Citizens Expects Positive Q4 Results for Lemonade Driven by Pricing Trends, Lower Losses |
Lemonade Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lemonade Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lemonade's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lemonade's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Lemonade Fundamentals Growth
Lemonade Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lemonade, and Lemonade fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lemonade Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.31 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0548 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.26) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.16) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.92 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 74.73 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 9.92 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.78 X | ||||
| Revenue | 526.5 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 343.1 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (183.9 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (202.2 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 285.5 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 107.2 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.55 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.91 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (11.4 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.37) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.12 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.85 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.3 B) | ||||
About Lemonade Performance
By analyzing Lemonade's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Lemonade's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Lemonade has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Lemonade has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | -2.3 K | -2.4 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.10) | (0.11) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.39) | (0.37) |
Things to note about Lemonade performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lemonade for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lemonade help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lemonade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lemonade has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 526.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (202.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 343.1 M. | |
| Lemonade currently holds about 285.5 M in cash with (11.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.14. | |
| Lemonade has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Citizens Expects Positive Q4 Results for Lemonade Driven by Pricing Trends, Lower Losses |
- Analyzing Lemonade's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lemonade's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Lemonade's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Lemonade's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lemonade's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lemonade's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lemonade's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Lemonade Stock analysis
When running Lemonade's price analysis, check to measure Lemonade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lemonade is operating at the current time. Most of Lemonade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lemonade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lemonade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lemonade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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