El Pollo Loco Stock Performance
| LOCO Stock | USD 10.94 0.24 2.24% |
El Pollo has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.41, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, El Pollo will likely underperform. El Pollo Loco at this time owns a risk of 1.88%. Please confirm El Pollo Loco maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to decide if El Pollo Loco will be following its current price history.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in El Pollo Loco are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, El Pollo is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.24 | Five Day Return 8.21 | Year To Date Return 6.01 | Ten Year Return (1.53) | All Time Return (54.47) |
Dividend Date 2022-11-09 | Ex Dividend Date 2022-10-21 |
1 | Should Value Investors Buy El Pollo Loco Stock | 12/09/2025 |
2 | BJs Restaurants Builds Momentum With Traffic Despite Cost Pressures | 12/23/2025 |
3 | Is El Pollo Loco Stock Undervalued Right Now | 12/26/2025 |
4 | Brinker International Gains From Chilis Momentum Amid Cost Pressures | 12/29/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 7682 shares by Elizabeth Williams of El Pollo at 10.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
6 | El Pollo Loco Launches Protein-Packed Double Pollo Salads Twice the Chicken, All the Flavor | 01/05/2026 |
7 | Dutch Bros, BJs, and El Pollo Loco Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know | 01/06/2026 |
8 | Protein Is the New Secret Weapon Fast-Food Chains Are Using to Win You Over | 01/09/2026 |
9 | El Pollo Loco Holdings Is On The Value Menu For A Reason - Seeking Alpha | 01/21/2026 |
10 | El Pollo Loco Appoints Frank Garrido to Board of Directors | 01/28/2026 |
11 | 3 Profitable Stocks Were Skeptical Of | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 7.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -18.9 M |
El Pollo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,056 in El Pollo Loco on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 38.00 from holding El Pollo Loco or generate 3.6% return on investment over 90 days. El Pollo Loco is currently generating 0.0753% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.8779% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than LOCO, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
El Pollo Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of LOCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.94 | 90 days | 10.94 | about 35.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of El Pollo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.38 (This El Pollo Loco probability density function shows the probability of LOCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
El Pollo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for El Pollo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as El Pollo Loco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of El Pollo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
El Pollo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. El Pollo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the El Pollo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold El Pollo Loco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of El Pollo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
El Pollo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of El Pollo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for El Pollo Loco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| El Pollo Loco currently holds 263.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. El Pollo Loco has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about El Pollo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of El Pollo shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: 3 Profitable Stocks Were Skeptical Of |
El Pollo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LOCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential El Pollo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. El Pollo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
El Pollo Fundamentals Growth
LOCO Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of El Pollo, and El Pollo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on LOCO Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0963 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.045 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 562.89 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 29.95 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 14.03 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.14 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.67 X | ||||
| Revenue | 473.01 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 105.12 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 56.91 M | ||||
| Net Income | 25.68 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.31 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.93 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 263.02 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.72 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.79 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.43 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 46.78 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.88 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 320.95 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 592.01 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 18.91 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (55.76 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 38.62 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 39.58 M | ||||
About El Pollo Performance
By examining El Pollo's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into El Pollo's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that El Pollo is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.14 | 2.67 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.09 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.09 | 0.10 |
Things to note about El Pollo Loco performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about El Pollo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for El Pollo Loco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| El Pollo Loco currently holds 263.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. El Pollo Loco has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about El Pollo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of El Pollo shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: 3 Profitable Stocks Were Skeptical Of |
- Analyzing El Pollo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether El Pollo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining El Pollo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating El Pollo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of El Pollo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of El Pollo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into El Pollo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in El Pollo Loco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could LOCO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of El Pollo. Expected growth trajectory for LOCO significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every El Pollo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.19 | Earnings Share 0.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.009 | Return On Assets |
Understanding El Pollo Loco requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects LOCO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what El Pollo's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push El Pollo's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that El Pollo's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether El Pollo represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, El Pollo's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.