El Pollo Loco Stock Analysis

LOCO Stock  USD 12.76  0.46  3.74%   
El Pollo Loco is overvalued with Real Value of 11.62 and Target Price of 10.67. The main objective of El Pollo stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what El Pollo Loco is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of El Pollo's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The El Pollo stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. El Pollo is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. LOCO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in El Pollo Loco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

LOCO Stock Analysis Notes

About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. El Pollo Loco has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2022. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California. El Pollo operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4626 people. To find out more about El Pollo Loco contact Elizabeth Williams at 714 599 5000 or learn more at https://www.elpolloloco.com.

El Pollo Quarterly Total Revenue

120.39 Million

El Pollo Loco Investment Alerts

El Pollo Loco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
El Pollo Loco currently holds 273.33 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. El Pollo Loco has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about El Pollo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
El Pollo Loco has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of El Pollo shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: 5 Cheap Strong Buy Stocks Values or Traps

El Pollo Loco Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by El Pollo to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

LOCO Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact El Pollo's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-03-09
2022-12-310.140.160.0214 
2022-11-03
2022-09-300.120.140.0216 
2022-08-04
2022-06-300.190.210.0210 
View All Earnings Estimates

El Pollo Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

El Pollo's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates El Pollo's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of El Pollo's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect El Pollo's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

El Pollo Thematic Classifications

In addition to having El Pollo stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Hotels Idea
Hotels
Hotels and motels
Restaurants Idea
Restaurants
Restaurants, Coffee Shops and other eateries
Restaraunts Hotels Motels Idea
Restaraunts Hotels Motels
USA Equities from Restaraunts Hotels Motels industry as classified by Fama & French

LOCO Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
503 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
480.9 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2024-09-30
384.3 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
363 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
335.8 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
325.3 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
294.4 K
Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
249.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
241.6 K
Biglari Capital Corp.2024-09-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.4 M
Note, although El Pollo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

LOCO Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 368.25 M.

LOCO Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.08 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.08.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.29  0.31 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.21 

Management Efficiency

El Pollo Loco has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0435 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0435 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0937 %, meaning that it created $0.0937 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. El Pollo's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well El Pollo manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, El Pollo's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.1, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.08. At this time, El Pollo's Other Current Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Total Current Assets is likely to grow to about 35.3 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 555.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 6.52  5.02 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(3.13)(3.28)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 85.51  89.79 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.06  4.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple 85.51  89.79 
Price Fair Value 3.06  4.61 
Enterprise Value799.1 M871.3 M
El Pollo showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Operating Margin
0.0848
Profit Margin
0.0511
Beta
1.436
Return On Assets
0.0435
Return On Equity
0.0937

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of November, El Pollo owns the Standard Deviation of 1.66, information ratio of (0.15), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08). In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check possible technical drivers of El Pollo Loco, as well as the relationship between them.

El Pollo Loco Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. El Pollo middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for El Pollo Loco. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

El Pollo Loco Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific El Pollo insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on El Pollo's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases El Pollo insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

El Pollo Outstanding Bonds

El Pollo issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. El Pollo Loco uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most LOCO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when El Pollo Loco has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

El Pollo Predictive Daily Indicators

El Pollo intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of El Pollo stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

El Pollo Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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F4
7th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
1st of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
31st of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
27th of August 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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F4
23rd of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
5th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
2nd of August 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

El Pollo Forecast Models

El Pollo's time-series forecasting models are one of many El Pollo's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary El Pollo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About LOCO Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how El Pollo prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling LOCO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as El Pollo. By using and applying LOCO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying LOCO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.06)
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.13 
Gross Profit Margin 0.26  0.25 

Current LOCO Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. LOCO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. LOCO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
10.67Buy4Odds
El Pollo Loco current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most LOCO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand LOCO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of El Pollo Loco, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to LOCO conference calls.
LOCO Analyst Advice Details

LOCO Stock Analysis Indicators

El Pollo Loco stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how El Pollo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading El Pollo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying El Pollo stock analysis, traders can identify El Pollo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow20.5 M
Long Term Debt84 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity250.7 M
Tax Provision10 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.24
Property Plant And Equipment Net253.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.3 M
Cash7.3 M
Accounts Payable12.5 M
Net Debt266 M
50 Day M A13.0454
Total Current Liabilities72.6 M
Other Operating Expenses428.9 M
Non Current Assets Total567.2 M
Forward Price Earnings14.0252
Non Currrent Assets OtherM
Stock Based CompensationM
When determining whether El Pollo Loco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of El Pollo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of El Pollo Loco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on El Pollo Loco Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in El Pollo Loco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of El Pollo. If investors know LOCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about El Pollo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Earnings Share
0.79
Revenue Per Share
15.422
Return On Assets
0.0435
Return On Equity
0.0937
The market value of El Pollo Loco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LOCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of El Pollo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is El Pollo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because El Pollo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect El Pollo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between El Pollo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if El Pollo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, El Pollo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.