Lightpath Technologies Stock Performance
| LPTH Stock | USD 9.40 1.49 13.68% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, LightPath Technologies holds a performance score of 6. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.89, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. LightPath Technologies returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, LightPath Technologies is expected to follow. Please check LightPath Technologies' potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether LightPath Technologies' current price movements will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in LightPath Technologies are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent basic indicators, LightPath Technologies demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (13.68) | Five Day Return (16.81) | Year To Date Return (19.80) | Ten Year Return 246.86 | All Time Return (75.26) |
Last Split Factor 1:8 | Last Split Date 2003-03-04 |
1 | LightPath price target raised by 2 at Ladenburg, heres why LPTH | 11/12/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Shmuel Rubin of 9529 shares of LightPath Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
3 | LightPath Technologies launches public offering of common stock | 12/11/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 13020 shares by Shmuel Rubin of LightPath Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/19/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 1860465 shares by North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, Lp of LightPath Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 3499289 shares by North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, Lp of LightPath Technologies at 2.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
7 | Lake Street Capital Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for LightPath Technologies Stock | 01/06/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Shmuel Rubin of 1500 shares of LightPath Technologies at 1.24 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
9 | LightPath Technologies Shares Gap Up Still a Buy | 01/15/2026 |
10 | LightPath Technologies acquires Amorphous Materials for 7M | 01/20/2026 |
11 | LightPath Technologies Completes Strategic Amorphous Materials Acquisition - TipRanks | 01/23/2026 |
12 | LightPath Reinforces National Defense Authorization Act Readiness with Domestic Infrared Optics and Systems | 01/28/2026 |
13 | LightPath Technologies to Host Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call on February 11 at 500 p.m. Eastern Time | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -19.7 M |
LightPath | Build AI portfolio with LightPath Stock |
LightPath Technologies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 771.00 in LightPath Technologies on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 169.00 from holding LightPath Technologies or generate 21.92% return on investment over 90 days. LightPath Technologies is currently generating 0.5527% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.662% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 59% of stocks are less volatile than LightPath, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
LightPath Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of LightPath Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.40 | 90 days | 9.40 | about 48.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LightPath Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.75 (This LightPath Technologies probability density function shows the probability of LightPath Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
LightPath Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LightPath Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LightPath Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LightPath Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LightPath Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LightPath Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LightPath Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LightPath Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LightPath Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
LightPath Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LightPath Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LightPath Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LightPath Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LightPath Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 37.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.77 M. | |
| LightPath Technologies currently holds about 5.51 M in cash with (8.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: LightPath Technologies to Host Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call on February 11 at 500 p.m. Eastern Time |
LightPath Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LightPath Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LightPath Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LightPath Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 M |
LightPath Technologies Fundamentals Growth
LightPath Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of LightPath Technologies, and LightPath Technologies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on LightPath Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.38 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0827 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.37) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 563.72 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 53.32 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 25.96 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 27.14 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 13.24 X | ||||
| Revenue | 37.2 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 11.77 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (4.91 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (14.87 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.51 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 15.19 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.49 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.35 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.48 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (8.33 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.39) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 580.66 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 81.51 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (230.72 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 11.27 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 18.67 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 4.53 M | ||||
About LightPath Technologies Performance
By evaluating LightPath Technologies' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into LightPath Technologies' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if LightPath Technologies has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if LightPath Technologies has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 199.37 | 154.98 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.26) | (0.27) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.18) | (0.17) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.16) | (0.17) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.86) | (0.90) |
Things to note about LightPath Technologies performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about LightPath Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for LightPath Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LightPath Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LightPath Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 37.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.77 M. | |
| LightPath Technologies currently holds about 5.51 M in cash with (8.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: LightPath Technologies to Host Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call on February 11 at 500 p.m. Eastern Time |
- Analyzing LightPath Technologies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether LightPath Technologies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining LightPath Technologies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating LightPath Technologies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of LightPath Technologies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of LightPath Technologies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into LightPath Technologies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for LightPath Stock analysis
When running LightPath Technologies' price analysis, check to measure LightPath Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LightPath Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of LightPath Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LightPath Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LightPath Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules |