Lightpath Technologies Stock Technical Analysis
| LPTH Stock | USD 10.43 0.71 6.37% |
As of the 1st of March, LightPath Technologies secures the Mean Deviation of 5.97, risk adjusted performance of 0.1152, and Downside Deviation of 7.05. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of LightPath Technologies, as well as the relationship between them.
LightPath Technologies Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as LightPath, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to LightPathLightPath | Build AI portfolio with LightPath Stock |
LightPath Technologies Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 15.1 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most LightPath analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand LightPath stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of LightPath Technologies, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to LightPath conference calls.
Is there potential for Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components market expansion? Will LightPath introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightPath Technologies. Expected growth trajectory for LightPath significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about LightPath Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | Earnings Share (0.52) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.202 | Return On Assets |
The market value of LightPath Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightPath Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightPath Technologies' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because LightPath Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightPath Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LightPath Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LightPath Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, LightPath Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
LightPath Technologies 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LightPath Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LightPath Technologies.
| 12/01/2025 |
| 03/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in LightPath Technologies on December 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LightPath Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in LightPath Technologies over 90 days. LightPath Technologies is related to or competes with Microvision, Commerce, Nano Dimension, Lesaka Technologies, Frequency Electronics, 3D Systems, and Veritone. LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical components and assemblies More
LightPath Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LightPath Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LightPath Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1272 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.08 |
LightPath Technologies Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LightPath Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LightPath Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LightPath Technologies historical prices to predict the future LightPath Technologies' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1152 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.04 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2583 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1413 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.41 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LightPath Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LightPath Technologies March 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1152 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.42 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.24 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 7.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 721.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.83 | |||
| Variance | 61.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1272 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.04 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2583 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1413 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.41 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 49.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.61) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2771 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4499 |
LightPath Technologies Backtested Returns
LightPath Technologies appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. LightPath Technologies has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing LightPath Technologies' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.91% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise LightPath Technologies' Downside Deviation of 7.05, mean deviation of 5.97, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1152 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, LightPath Technologies holds a performance score of 9. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.45, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, LightPath Technologies' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LightPath Technologies is expected to be smaller as well. Please check LightPath Technologies' potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether LightPath Technologies' current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.08 |
Virtually no predictability
LightPath Technologies has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LightPath Technologies time series from 1st of December 2025 to 15th of January 2026 and 15th of January 2026 to 1st of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LightPath Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current LightPath Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.6 |
LightPath Technologies technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
LightPath Technologies Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for LightPath Technologies across different markets.
About LightPath Technologies Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of LightPath Technologies on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of LightPath Technologies based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on LightPath Technologies price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding LightPath Technologies. By analyzing LightPath Technologies's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of LightPath Technologies's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to LightPath Technologies specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 56.71 | 92.77 | 106.68 | 80.31 | PTB Ratio | 1.65 | 8.05 | 9.25 | 9.72 |
LightPath Technologies March 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of LightPath help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LightPath from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze LightPath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1152 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.42 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.24 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 7.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 721.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.83 | |||
| Variance | 61.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1272 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.04 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2583 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1413 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.41 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 49.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.61) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2771 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4499 |
LightPath Technologies March 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LightPath stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.08 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.86) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | ||
| Day Median Price | 10.45 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 10.45 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.38) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.83 |
Complementary Tools for LightPath Stock analysis
When running LightPath Technologies' price analysis, check to measure LightPath Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LightPath Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of LightPath Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LightPath Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LightPath Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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