Lightpath Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LPTH Stock | USD 1.49 0.01 0.67% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding LightPath Technologies is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of LightPath Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out LightPath Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in LightPath Stock please use our How to Invest in LightPath Technologies guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as LightPath and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards LightPath Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
LightPath |
Execute LightPath Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
The LightPath recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on LightPath Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in LightPath Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute LightPath Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
LightPath Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| LightPath Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| LightPath Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| LightPath Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.07 M. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Critical Analysis Micron Technology LightPath Technologies |
LightPath Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of LightPath Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of LightPath Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use LightPath Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of LightPath Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for LightPath Technologies.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -4.46 | Potential Upside | 7.30 | Standard Deviation | 3.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of LightPath Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
LightPath Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 94.7 K | Murphy Pohlad Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 69.1 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 54.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 50.9 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-06-30 | 37.9 K | Commonwealth Equity Services Inc | 2024-06-30 | 32.5 K | Ironwood Investment Counsel, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 30.8 K | Aristides Capital Llc | 2024-09-30 | 29.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 24.2 K | Aigh Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.7 M | Amh Equity Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 3 M |
LightPath Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1.4M) | 167.5K | 1.2M | (741.6K) | 960.7K | 1.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 782.7K | 1.4M | (1.3M) | 1.6M | (3.7M) | (3.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.3M | 1.6M | (162.5K) | (5.9M) | (1.7M) | (1.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.4M | 3.5M | 3.6M | 3.2M | 4.0M | 2.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (99.8K) | (38.5K) | 303.4K | 73.3K | 440.2K | 418.2K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.4M | 3.2M | 1.6M | 3.1M | 2.2M | 1.8M | |
| Net Income | 866.9K | (3.2M) | (3.5M) | (4.0M) | (8.0M) | (8.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.4M | 6.8M | 5.5M | 7.1M | 3.5M | 5.1M | |
| Change Receivables | 602.4K | (1.1M) | 224.9K | 1.6M | 1.8M | 1.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 283.2K | 1.1M | 1.6M | 1.3M | 1.4M | 1.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | (181.4K) | (1.0M) | (626.7K) | (1.8M) | (1.6M) | (1.5M) | |
| Investments | (2.3M) | (3.2M) | (1.6M) | (2.9M) | (2.7M) | (2.8M) |
LightPath Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to LightPath Technologies or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that LightPath Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a LightPath stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
LightPath Technologies Volatility Alert
LightPath Technologies shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure LightPath Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact LightPath Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.LightPath Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing LightPath Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze LightPath Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between LightPath Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as LightPath Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of LightPath Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LightPath Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare LightPath Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | LightPath Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.26 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0944 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.26) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 67.61 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.66 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 67.66 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 25.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 31.73 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 11.07 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (3.7 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (8.01 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.36 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.49 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.35 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.74 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 521.04 K | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.21) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 3.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 304 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 59.1 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 48.09 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (215.84 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 7.5 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 18.67 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Shmuel Rubin of 3770 shares of LightPath Technologies at 2.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
LightPath Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LightPath . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About LightPath Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell LightPath Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as LightPath Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out LightPath Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in LightPath Stock please use our How to Invest in LightPath Technologies guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightPath Technologies. If investors know LightPath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LightPath Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 0.833 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of LightPath Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightPath Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightPath Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LightPath Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightPath Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LightPath Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LightPath Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LightPath Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.