Lightpath Technologies Stock Market Outlook
| LPTH Stock | USD 10.89 0.39 3.71% |
Under 61% of all LightPath Technologies' traders are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading LightPath Technologies stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. LightPath Technologies' investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards LightPath Technologies.
Comfort Level 61
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use LightPath Technologies' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward LightPath Technologies.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding LightPath Technologies is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of LightPath Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
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Execute LightPath Technologies Advice
The LightPath recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on LightPath Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in LightPath Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute LightPath Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
For the selected time horizon LightPath Technologies has a Mean Deviation of 4.63, Semi Deviation of 6.06, Standard Deviation of 6.29, Variance of 39.51, Downside Variance of 47.82 and Semi Variance of 36.74Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on LightPath Technologies and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure LightPath Technologies is not overpriced, please verify all LightPath Technologies fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that LightPath Technologies has a number of shares shorted of 2.12 M, we recommend you to check LightPath Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.
LightPath Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| LightPath Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LightPath Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 37.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.77 M. | |
| LightPath Technologies currently holds about 5.51 M in cash with (8.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
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LightPath Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of LightPath Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of LightPath Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use LightPath Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of LightPath Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for LightPath Technologies.
| Mean Return | 0.63 | Value At Risk | -9.63 | Potential Upside | 11.38 | Standard Deviation | 6.29 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of LightPath Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
LightPath Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | The Informed Momentum Company (formerly Eam Investors) | 2025-06-30 | 220.4 K | State Street Corp | 2025-06-30 | 141.7 K | Wealth Effects Llc | 2025-06-30 | 136 K | Tcg Advisory Services, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 83 K | Mink Brook Asset Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 79.9 K | Essex Investment Management Company, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 78.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 73.5 K | Murphy Pohlad Asset Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 69.1 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 64.8 K | Aigh Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3.6 M | Amh Equity Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 2.1 M |
LightPath Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 1.2M | (741.6K) | 960.7K | (1.4M) | (1.2M) | (1.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | (1.3M) | 1.6M | (3.7M) | 1.4M | 1.3M | 1.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (162.5K) | (5.9M) | (1.7M) | (9.6M) | (11.0M) | (10.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.6M | 3.2M | 4.0M | 4.1M | 3.7M | 2.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 303.4K | 73.3K | 440.2K | 2.0M | 1.8M | 2.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.6M | 3.1M | 2.2M | 1.3M | 1.5M | 1.7M | |
| Net Income | (3.5M) | (4.0M) | (8.0M) | (14.9M) | (17.1M) | (16.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5.5M | 7.1M | 3.5M | 4.9M | 4.4M | 5.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 283.2K | 1.1M | 1.6M | 1.3M | 1.4M | 1.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | (626.7K) | (1.8M) | (2.3M) | 6.3M | 7.2M | 7.6M | |
| Investments | (1.6M) | (2.9M) | (2.7M) | (19.7M) | (17.8M) | (16.9M) |
LightPath Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to LightPath Technologies or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that LightPath Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a LightPath stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
LightPath Technologies Volatility Alert
LightPath Technologies is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure LightPath Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact LightPath Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.LightPath Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing LightPath Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze LightPath Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between LightPath Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as LightPath Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of LightPath Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LightPath Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare LightPath Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | LightPath Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0827 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.37) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.08) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 563.72 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 53.32 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.49 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.24 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.12 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 25.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 27.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 13.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 37.2 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 11.77 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (4.91 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (14.87 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 15.19 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.49 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.35 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (8.33 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.84 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.39) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.4 | |
| Number Of Employees | 345 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 580.66 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 81.51 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (230.72 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 11.27 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 18.67 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 3499289 shares by North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, Lp of LightPath Technologies at 2.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
LightPath Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LightPath . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About LightPath Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell LightPath Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as LightPath Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having LightPath Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Diversified Assets
Pablicly traded close-end funds and other entities backed by different types of diversified investments. The Diversified Assets theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Diversified Assets Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out LightPath Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in LightPath Stock please use our How to Invest in LightPath Technologies guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is there potential for Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components market expansion? Will LightPath introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightPath Technologies. Expected growth trajectory for LightPath significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about LightPath Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 49.113 | Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.793 | Return On Assets |
The market value of LightPath Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightPath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightPath Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightPath Technologies' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because LightPath Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightPath Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LightPath Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LightPath Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, LightPath Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.