Livewire Group Stock Performance
| LVWR Stock | USD 2.18 0.26 10.66% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 3.62, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, LiveWire will likely underperform. At this point, LiveWire Group has a negative expected return of -1.21%. Please make sure to verify LiveWire's value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if LiveWire Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days LiveWire Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (10.66) | Five Day Return (3.11) | Year To Date Return (52.09) | Ten Year Return (77.43) | All Time Return (77.43) |
Last Split Factor 1:1 | Last Split Date 2022-09-27 |
1 | LiveWire Group Assessing Valuation After Raised Loss Guidance and New Product Lineup Reveal | 11/07/2025 |
2 | LiveWire Group, Inc. May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33 percent Price Plummet | 11/20/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Allen Gerrard of 94538 shares of LiveWire subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 1009 shares by Ryan Ragland of LiveWire at 4.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/02/2025 |
5 | Is LiveWire Group Inc. stock considered safe haven - Rate Hike Safe Entry Momentum Tips - Blm Sonu Canavar | 12/19/2025 |
6 | LiveWire Group Shares Gap Down - Time to Sell - MarketBeat | 01/02/2026 |
7 | Insider Trading | 01/05/2026 |
8 | LiveWire Group Shares Down 8.8 percent Heres Why | 01/06/2026 |
9 | LiveWire Unprofitable, With No Clear Catalysts - Seeking Alpha | 01/13/2026 |
10 | LiveWire Group Stock Price Down 6.4 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 01/23/2026 |
11 | LiveWire Group NYSELVWR investor five-year losses grow to 79 percent as the stock sheds US55m this past week | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 167.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -8.1 M |
LiveWire Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 496.00 in LiveWire Group on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (278.00) from holding LiveWire Group or give up 56.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. LiveWire Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.5361% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 49% of stocks are less volatile than LiveWire, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
LiveWire Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of LiveWire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.18 | 90 days | 2.18 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LiveWire to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This LiveWire Group probability density function shows the probability of LiveWire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
LiveWire Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LiveWire
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LiveWire Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LiveWire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LiveWire Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LiveWire is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LiveWire's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LiveWire Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LiveWire within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
LiveWire Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LiveWire for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LiveWire Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LiveWire Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LiveWire Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.92 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.87 M). | |
| LiveWire Group currently holds about 5.37 M in cash with (93.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: LiveWire Group NYSELVWR investor five-year losses grow to 79 percent as the stock sheds US55m this past week |
LiveWire Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LiveWire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LiveWire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LiveWire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 203.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.4 M |
LiveWire Fundamentals Growth
LiveWire Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of LiveWire, and LiveWire fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on LiveWire Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.8 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.39 | |||
| Operating Margin | (3.30) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 482.29 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 203.99 M | |||
| Price To Book | 7.20 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 17.73 X | |||
| Revenue | 26.63 M | |||
| Gross Profit | (9.87 M) | |||
| EBITDA | (83.84 M) | |||
| Net Income | (93.92 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.37 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.03 X | |||
| Total Debt | 799 K | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.30 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (93.86 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.39) X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 954.67 M | |||
| Total Asset | 147.96 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (225.91 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 68.51 M | |||
| Current Asset | 5.89 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 12.98 M | |||
About LiveWire Performance
Assessing LiveWire's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into LiveWire's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the LiveWire is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 224.54 | 173.30 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.61) | (0.64) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.84) | (0.88) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.57) | (0.60) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.73) | (0.77) |
Things to note about LiveWire Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about LiveWire for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for LiveWire Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LiveWire Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LiveWire Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.92 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.87 M). | |
| LiveWire Group currently holds about 5.37 M in cash with (93.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: LiveWire Group NYSELVWR investor five-year losses grow to 79 percent as the stock sheds US55m this past week |
- Analyzing LiveWire's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether LiveWire's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining LiveWire's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating LiveWire's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of LiveWire's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of LiveWire's stock. These opinions can provide insight into LiveWire's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for LiveWire Stock Analysis
When running LiveWire's price analysis, check to measure LiveWire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LiveWire is operating at the current time. Most of LiveWire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LiveWire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LiveWire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LiveWire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.