Livewire Group Stock Technical Analysis

LVWR Stock  USD 2.23  0.11  4.70%   
As of the 1st of February, LiveWire secures the Mean Deviation of 4.2, risk adjusted performance of (0.17), and Standard Deviation of 5.38. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of LiveWire Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify LiveWire Group market risk adjusted performance and treynor ratio to decide if LiveWire Group is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 2.23 per share. Please also check out LiveWire jensen alpha, which is currently at (1.32) to check the company can sustain itself at a future point.

LiveWire Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as LiveWire, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to LiveWireLiveWire's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

LiveWire Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
7.25Hold1Odds
LiveWire Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most LiveWire analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand LiveWire stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of LiveWire Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to LiveWire conference calls.
LiveWire Analyst Advice Details
Can Automotive Parts & Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does LiveWire have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LiveWire. Expected growth trajectory for LiveWire significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating LiveWire demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share
(0.39)
Revenue Per Share
0.123
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.283
Return On Assets
(0.39)
Return On Equity
(0.80)
Investors evaluate LiveWire Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating LiveWire's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause LiveWire's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LiveWire's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LiveWire represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, LiveWire's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

LiveWire 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LiveWire's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LiveWire.
0.00
11/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/01/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LiveWire on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LiveWire Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in LiveWire over 90 days. LiveWire is related to or competes with SES AI, Aeva Technologies, Fox Factory, G III, Cannae Holdings, Lotus Technology, and Biglari Holdings. LiveWire Group, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of electric motorcycles in North America, EuropeMiddle EastAfrica, and... More

LiveWire Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LiveWire's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LiveWire Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LiveWire Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LiveWire's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LiveWire's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LiveWire historical prices to predict the future LiveWire's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LiveWire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.227.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.469.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.808.34
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.607.258.05
Details

LiveWire February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

LiveWire Group Backtested Returns

LiveWire Group has Sharpe Ratio of -0.21, which conveys that the firm had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. LiveWire exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify LiveWire's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), standard deviation of 5.38, and Mean Deviation of 4.2 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, LiveWire's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LiveWire is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, LiveWire Group has a negative expected return of -1.19%. Please make sure to verify LiveWire's value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and relative strength index , to decide if LiveWire Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

LiveWire Group has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LiveWire time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LiveWire Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current LiveWire price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.88
LiveWire technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of LiveWire technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of LiveWire trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

LiveWire Group Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of LiveWire Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About LiveWire Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of LiveWire Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of LiveWire Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on LiveWire Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding LiveWire Group. By analyzing LiveWire's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of LiveWire's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to LiveWire specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding73.8958.5667.3472.67
PTB Ratio11.138.499.769.28

LiveWire February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of LiveWire help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LiveWire from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze LiveWire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

LiveWire February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LiveWire stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for LiveWire Stock Analysis

When running LiveWire's price analysis, check to measure LiveWire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LiveWire is operating at the current time. Most of LiveWire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LiveWire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LiveWire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LiveWire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.