Mcdonalds Stock Performance
| MCD Stock | USD 318.53 3.53 1.12% |
McDonalds has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.48, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, McDonalds' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding McDonalds is expected to be smaller as well. McDonalds presently secures a risk of 1.04%. Please verify McDonalds maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if McDonalds will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in McDonalds are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, McDonalds is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.12 | Five Day Return 1.12 | Year To Date Return 5.04 | Ten Year Return 156.98 | All Time Return 118.1 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0236 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 7.44 | Dividend Date 2025-12-15 |
| McDonalds dividend paid on 15th of December 2025 | 12/15/2025 |
1 | Investor Outlook Lower fast-food prices raise consumer demand questions | 01/13/2026 |
2 | McDonalds worker arrested after allegedly double-charging people | 01/22/2026 |
3 | Man used rock to rob Taco Bell, climbed through drive-thru window and chased employees around parking lot demanding money | 01/26/2026 |
4 | McDonalds brings back an iconic item from the 1980s | 01/27/2026 |
5 | Trumps fraud czar pick is fearless prosecutor who busted crooked police chief | 01/28/2026 |
6 | McDonalds quietly fixes its customers biggest menu beef | 01/29/2026 |
7 | A Look At McDonalds Valuation As Nostalgic Toys And Hot Honey Menu Promotions Roll Out Nationwide | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Insider Trading | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 4.6 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -5.3 B |
McDonalds | Build AI portfolio with McDonalds Stock |
McDonalds Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 30,385 in McDonalds on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,468 from holding McDonalds or generate 4.83% return on investment over 90 days. McDonalds is generating 0.0827% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0372% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than McDonalds, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
McDonalds Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of McDonalds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 318.53 | 90 days | 318.53 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of McDonalds to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This McDonalds probability density function shows the probability of McDonalds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
McDonalds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for McDonalds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McDonalds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
McDonalds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. McDonalds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the McDonalds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold McDonalds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of McDonalds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
McDonalds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of McDonalds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for McDonalds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| McDonalds has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of December 2025 McDonalds paid $ 1.86 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from desmoinesregister.com: Insider Trading |
McDonalds Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of McDonalds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential McDonalds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McDonalds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 721.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
McDonalds Fundamentals Growth
McDonalds Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of McDonalds, and McDonalds fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on McDonalds Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 277.73 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 712.15 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 39.39 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 8.65 X | ||||
| Revenue | 25.92 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 15.08 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 13.95 B | ||||
| Net Income | 8.22 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.08 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.86 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 51.95 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.35 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (3.04) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.45 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 11.72 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 227.3 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 55.18 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 66.83 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 738 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 9.64 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 2.95 B | ||||
About McDonalds Performance
By analyzing McDonalds' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into McDonalds' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if McDonalds has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if McDonalds has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 2.10 | 1.99 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.14 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | (2.49) | (2.37) |
Things to note about McDonalds performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about McDonalds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for McDonalds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| McDonalds has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of December 2025 McDonalds paid $ 1.86 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from desmoinesregister.com: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing McDonalds' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether McDonalds' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining McDonalds' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating McDonalds' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of McDonalds' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of McDonalds' stock. These opinions can provide insight into McDonalds' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis
When running McDonalds' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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