Mcdonalds Stock Performance

MCD Stock  USD 333.45  1.11  0.33%   
McDonalds has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, McDonalds' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding McDonalds is expected to be smaller as well. McDonalds presently secures a risk of 1.0%. Please verify McDonalds coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if McDonalds will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in McDonalds are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental indicators, McDonalds may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.62
Five Day Return
2.23
Year To Date Return
10.32
Ten Year Return
186.19
All Time Return
124 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0226
Payout Ratio
0.5951
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
7.44
Dividend Date
2026-03-17
 
McDonalds dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow1.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.8 B

McDonalds Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  31,054  in McDonalds on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,402  from holding McDonalds or generate 7.73% return on investment over 90 days. McDonalds is generating 0.1313% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0012% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than McDonalds, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon McDonalds is expected to generate 1.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

McDonalds Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of McDonalds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 333.45 90 days 333.45 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of McDonalds to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This McDonalds probability density function shows the probability of McDonalds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon McDonalds has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, McDonalds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding McDonalds will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally McDonalds has an alpha of 0.133, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   McDonalds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for McDonalds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McDonalds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
332.53333.53334.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
300.11367.06368.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
325.77326.77327.77
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
310.00340.66378.13
Details

McDonalds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. McDonalds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the McDonalds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold McDonalds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of McDonalds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
8.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

McDonalds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of McDonalds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for McDonalds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from express.co.uk: Channel 4 Dirty Business viewers all say same thing minutes into tragic drama

McDonalds Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of McDonalds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential McDonalds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McDonalds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding714.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments774 M

McDonalds Fundamentals Growth

McDonalds Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of McDonalds, and McDonalds fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on McDonalds Stock performance.

About McDonalds Performance

By analyzing McDonalds' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into McDonalds' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if McDonalds has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if McDonalds has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.10  1.99 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.14  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.16 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.09 
Return On Equity(4.78)(4.54)

Things to note about McDonalds performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about McDonalds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for McDonalds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from express.co.uk: Channel 4 Dirty Business viewers all say same thing minutes into tragic drama
Evaluating McDonalds' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate McDonalds' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing McDonalds' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether McDonalds' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining McDonalds' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating McDonalds' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of McDonalds' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of McDonalds' stock. These opinions can provide insight into McDonalds' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating McDonalds' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact McDonalds' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis

When running McDonalds' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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