McDonalds Valuation

MCD Stock  USD 327.55  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. McDonalds secures a last-minute Real Value of $342.15 per share. The latest price of the firm is $327.55. Our model forecasts the value of McDonalds from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as operating margin of 0.45 %, and Return On Asset of 0.14 as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting McDonalds' valuation include:
Price Book
(132.04)
Enterprise Value
286.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
22.1578
Price Sales
8.6949
Forward PE
24.6914
Undervalued
Today
327.55
Please note that McDonalds' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of McDonalds is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing McDonalds' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the McDonalds stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of McDonalds. Since McDonalds is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of McDonalds Stock. However, McDonalds' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  327.55 Real  342.15 Target  340.03 Hype  327.51
The real value of McDonalds Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of McDonalds Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on McDonalds' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of McDonalds' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
294.80
Downside
342.15
Real Value
343.18
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of McDonalds helps investors to forecast how McDonalds stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of McDonalds more accurately as focusing exclusively on McDonalds' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.682.872.83
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
326.48327.51328.54
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
309.43340.03377.43
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use McDonalds' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of McDonalds' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against McDonalds' closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for McDonalds we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

McDonalds Cash

1.66 Billion

McDonalds Revenue by Product

McDonalds Total Value Analysis

McDonalds is now forecasted to have company total value of 286.63 B with market capitalization of 233.76 B, debt of 61.31 B, and cash on hands of 774 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the McDonalds fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
286.63 B
233.76 B
61.31 B
774 M

McDonalds Investor Information

About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.9. McDonalds recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of March 1999. Based on the key indicators related to McDonalds' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, McDonalds may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.480.4611
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.4 B10.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income13 B12.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

McDonalds Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. McDonalds has an asset utilization ratio of 45.17 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.45 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that McDonalds is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

McDonalds Profitability Analysis

Based on McDonalds' profitability indicators, McDonalds is yielding more profit at the present time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate chance of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess McDonalds' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
2.3 B
Current Value
2.2 B
Quarterly Volatility
645.2 M
 
Black Monday
 
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Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, McDonalds' Operating Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.33, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 9.1 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.570.5695
Slightly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.330.3185
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.480.4611
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.430.4053
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.0880.13
Way Down
Pretty Stable
For McDonalds profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of McDonalds to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well McDonalds utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between McDonalds's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of McDonalds over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

McDonalds Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of McDonalds is estimated to be 2.87 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.68 to a high of 2.83. McDonalds' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 11.96. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for McDonalds is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
McDonalds is projected to generate 2.87 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. McDonalds earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected McDonalds EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on McDonalds' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as McDonalds, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

McDonalds Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of McDonalds' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of McDonalds is estimated to be 2.87 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.68 to a high of 2.83. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for McDonalds is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
3.12
2.68
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.87
2.83
Highest

McDonalds Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of McDonalds' value are higher than the current market price of the McDonalds stock. In this case, investors may conclude that McDonalds is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and McDonalds' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
3796.09%
3.12
2.87
11.96

McDonalds Ownership Allocation

McDonalds maintains a total of 712.15 Million outstanding shares. The majority of McDonalds outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in McDonalds to benefit from reduced commissions. Accordingly, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in McDonalds. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of McDonalds as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on January 16, 2026, Representative Julie Johnson of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of McDonalds's common stock.

McDonalds Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 26.89 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.56 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15.43 B.

McDonalds Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates McDonalds' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in McDonalds and how it compares across the competition.

About McDonalds Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines McDonalds' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of McDonalds. We calculate exposure to McDonalds's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of McDonalds's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit15.3 B9.1 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.41  0.43 
Operating Profit Margin 0.46  0.48 
Net Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Gross Profit Margin 0.57  0.57 
McDonalds' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether McDonalds' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of McDonalds can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of McDonalds represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of McDonalds, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

McDonalds Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about 5.4 B, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.01. . At present, McDonalds' Earnings Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 5.68, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is forecasted to decline to about 47 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid5.1 B5.4 B
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.60  0.30 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.11  0.98 
There are various types of dividends McDonalds can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of McDonalds shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from McDonalds directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When McDonalds pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of McDonalds by the value of the dividends paid out.

McDonalds Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as McDonalds does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding714.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.083
Forward Price Earnings24.6914

McDonalds Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of McDonalds and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value McDonalds we look at many different elements of the entity such as McDonalds's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as McDonalds, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use McDonalds' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes McDonalds' worth.

Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis

When running McDonalds' price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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