Microsoft (Germany) Performance
| MSF Stock | EUR 337.05 1.30 0.38% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Microsoft's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Microsoft is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Microsoft has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0096 |
1 | Microsoft sends harsh message to millions of Microsoft 365 customers - Yahoo Finance | 12/08/2025 |
2 | Microsoft Stock Jumps as Copilot Calls Super Bowl 60 - TipRanks | 01/07/2026 |
3 | Microsoft Wants to Power Retail Without Competing With It - MarketBeat | 01/13/2026 |
4 | Microsoft Corporation Set to Gain from Rising Software Spending, Morgan Stanley Says - Yahoo Finance | 01/16/2026 |
5 | SoundHound vs. Microsoft Can the Small Voice AI Player Beat the Tech Giant - Nasdaq | 01/21/2026 |
6 | Steve Ballmers Net Worth Drops 14B After Microsoft Shares Sink - Sportico.com | 01/29/2026 |
7 | Microsoft Stock Gets a Downgrade. Why the Azure Maker Is Unlikely to Lead in AI. - Barrons | 02/05/2026 |
8 | Amazon Joins Microsoft in Bear Market. Why Mag 7 Stocks Are Struggling. - Barrons | 02/13/2026 |
9 | Project Silica Breakthrough Does Little Good for Microsoft Stock - TipRanks | 02/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 18.3 B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 71.6 B |
Microsoft |
Microsoft Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 41,226 in Microsoft on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (7,521) from holding Microsoft or give up 18.24% of portfolio value over 90 days. Microsoft is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.1053% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 18% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Microsoft, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Microsoft Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Microsoft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 337.05 | 90 days | 337.05 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Microsoft to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Microsoft probability density function shows the probability of Microsoft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Microsoft Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Microsoft
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microsoft. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Microsoft Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Microsoft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Microsoft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Microsoft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Microsoft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 30.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Microsoft Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Microsoft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Microsoft can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Microsoft generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Microsoft is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Project Silica Breakthrough Does Little Good for Microsoft Stock - TipRanks |
Microsoft Fundamentals Growth
Microsoft Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Microsoft, and Microsoft fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Microsoft Stock performance.
| Current Valuation | 2.48 T | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.65 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 9.84 X | ||||
| Revenue | 281.72 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 100.24 B | ||||
| Net Income | 101.83 B | ||||
| Total Debt | 3 B | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 136.16 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 619 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 237.73 B | ||||
About Microsoft Performance
By examining Microsoft's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Microsoft's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Microsoft is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Microsoft is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on HM exchange.Things to note about Microsoft performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Microsoft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Microsoft help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Microsoft generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Microsoft is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Project Silica Breakthrough Does Little Good for Microsoft Stock - TipRanks |
- Analyzing Microsoft's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Microsoft's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Microsoft's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Microsoft's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Microsoft's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Microsoft's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Microsoft's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. To learn how to invest in Microsoft Stock, please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.