Microsoft Valuation

MSF Stock  EUR 338.35  0.17  0.05%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Microsoft secures a last-minute Real Value of €301.39 per share. The latest price of the firm is €338.35. Our model forecasts the value of Microsoft from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 2.48 T, ebitda of 100.24 B, and Price To Sales of 9.84 X as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
7.6507
Enterprise Value
2.5 T
Enterprise Value Ebitda
15.6571
Price Sales
9.8382
Forward PE
24.3902
Overvalued
Today
338.35
Please note that Microsoft's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Microsoft is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Microsoft's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Microsoft stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Microsoft. Since Microsoft is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Microsoft Stock. However, Microsoft's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  338.35 Real  301.39 Hype  338.55 Naive  347.64
The intrinsic value of Microsoft's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Microsoft's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
299.28
Downside
301.39
Real Value
372.85
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Microsoft helps investors to forecast how Microsoft stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Microsoft more accurately as focusing exclusively on Microsoft's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
241.48341.16440.83
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
336.44338.55340.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
345.54347.64349.75
Details

Microsoft Cash

17.87 Billion

About Microsoft Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Microsoft based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Microsoft's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microsoft's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Microsoft. We calculate exposure to Microsoft's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Microsoft's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit223 B123.5 B

Microsoft Quarterly Retained Earnings

280.79 Billion

When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Microsoft Stock, please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
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Understanding that Microsoft's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microsoft represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Microsoft's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.