Microsoft (Germany) Technical Analysis

MSF Stock  EUR 333.45  7.00  2.06%   
As of the 28th of February, Microsoft secures the Standard Deviation of 2.1, mean deviation of 1.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Microsoft, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Microsoft standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and potential upside to decide if Microsoft is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 333.45 per share.

Microsoft Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Microsoft, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Microsoft
  
Microsoft's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Microsoft's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microsoft represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Microsoft's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Microsoft 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Microsoft's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Microsoft.
0.00
11/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Microsoft on November 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Microsoft or generate 0.0% return on investment in Microsoft over 90 days. Microsoft is related to or competes with Uber Technologies, BioNTech, HOCHSCHILD MINING, Scientific Games, GigaMedia, and GAMES OPERATORS. Microsoft is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on HM exchange. More

Microsoft Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Microsoft upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Microsoft Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Microsoft's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Microsoft's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Microsoft historical prices to predict the future Microsoft's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
331.96334.15336.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
261.24263.43366.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
340.26342.45344.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.76335.59347.73
Details

Microsoft February 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Microsoft Backtested Returns

Microsoft has Sharpe Ratio of -0.16, which conveys that the firm had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Microsoft exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Microsoft's Mean Deviation of 1.39, standard deviation of 2.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.57, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Microsoft's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Microsoft is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Microsoft has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Microsoft time series from 30th of November 2025 to 14th of January 2026 and 14th of January 2026 to 28th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Microsoft price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Microsoft price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance615.44
Microsoft technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Microsoft technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Microsoft trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Microsoft Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Microsoft across different markets.

About Microsoft Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Microsoft on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Microsoft price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Microsoft. By analyzing Microsoft's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microsoft's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Microsoft specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Microsoft February 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Microsoft help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microsoft from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Microsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Microsoft February 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microsoft stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Microsoft Stock, please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Understanding that Microsoft's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microsoft represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Microsoft's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.