Northwestern Stock Performance

NWE Stock  USD 68.35  1.01  1.50%   
NorthWestern has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0235, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, NorthWestern's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NorthWestern is expected to be smaller as well. NorthWestern right now secures a risk of 1.21%. Please verify NorthWestern potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if NorthWestern will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NorthWestern are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile basic indicators, NorthWestern may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.5
Five Day Return
(1.60)
Year To Date Return
5.56
Ten Year Return
17.52
All Time Return
173.95
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0392
Payout Ratio
1.0954
Last Split Factor
1:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.64
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co. Raises Stock Holdings in Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH - MarketBeat
12/01/2025
2
NorthWestern Energy Is The Recent Share Price Momentum Justified By Its Valuation
12/18/2025
3
Disposition of 3129 shares by Brian Bird of NorthWestern at 67.84 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
4
Stock up, stock down for Northwesterns 34-7 victory against Central Michigan - Yahoo Sports
12/26/2025
 
NorthWestern dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
5
Cwm LLC Has 1.53 Million Stake in NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. NWE - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
6
Disposition of tradable shares by John Hines of NorthWestern at 64.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
7
Disposition of 442 shares by Shannon Heim of NorthWestern at 64.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
8
Disposition of 2397 shares by Brian Bird of NorthWestern at 64.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
9
Strs Ohio Raises Stake in NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. NWE
01/28/2026
10
Acquisition by Jeffrey Yingling of 581 shares of NorthWestern at 64.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
NorthWestern Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
02/04/2026
12
NorthWestern FY 2025 Earnings Preview
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow25.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-554.5 M

NorthWestern Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,458  in NorthWestern on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  377.00  from holding NorthWestern or generate 5.84% return on investment over 90 days. NorthWestern is generating 0.1019% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.2148% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than NorthWestern, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon NorthWestern is expected to generate 1.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

NorthWestern Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NorthWestern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.35 90 days 68.35 
about 9.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NorthWestern to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.67 (This NorthWestern probability density function shows the probability of NorthWestern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon NorthWestern has a beta of 0.0235. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NorthWestern average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NorthWestern will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NorthWestern has an alpha of 0.1843, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NorthWestern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NorthWestern

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NorthWestern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NorthWestern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.2168.4269.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.1569.3670.57
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.9762.6069.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.940.960.98
Details

NorthWestern Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NorthWestern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NorthWestern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NorthWestern, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NorthWestern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

NorthWestern Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NorthWestern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NorthWestern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NorthWestern has 3.1 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is OK given its current industry classification. NorthWestern has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable NorthWestern to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
NorthWestern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of NorthWestern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 NorthWestern paid $ 0.66 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: NorthWestern FY 2025 Earnings Preview

NorthWestern Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NorthWestern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NorthWestern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NorthWestern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M

NorthWestern Fundamentals Growth

NorthWestern Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NorthWestern, and NorthWestern fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NorthWestern Stock performance.

About NorthWestern Performance

By analyzing NorthWestern's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into NorthWestern's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if NorthWestern has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if NorthWestern has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 177.26  186.12 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.18 

Things to note about NorthWestern performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NorthWestern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NorthWestern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NorthWestern has 3.1 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is OK given its current industry classification. NorthWestern has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable NorthWestern to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
NorthWestern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of NorthWestern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 NorthWestern paid $ 0.66 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: NorthWestern FY 2025 Earnings Preview
Evaluating NorthWestern's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NorthWestern's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NorthWestern's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NorthWestern's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NorthWestern's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NorthWestern's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NorthWestern's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NorthWestern's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NorthWestern's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NorthWestern's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NorthWestern's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running NorthWestern's price analysis, check to measure NorthWestern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NorthWestern is operating at the current time. Most of NorthWestern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NorthWestern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NorthWestern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NorthWestern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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