Northwestern Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NWE Stock  USD 56.51  0.94  1.69%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NorthWestern is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides NorthWestern buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NWE positions.
  
Check out NorthWestern Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade NorthWestern Stock refer to our How to Trade NorthWestern Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NorthWestern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NorthWestern. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute NorthWestern Buy or Sell Advice

The NorthWestern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NorthWestern. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NorthWestern or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NorthWestern's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NorthWesternBuy NorthWestern
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NorthWestern has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0657, Jensen Alpha of 0.0197, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.114
Our trade recommendations module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on NorthWestern. Our trade recommendations engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure NorthWestern is not overpriced, please verify all NorthWestern fundamentals, including its short ratio, current asset, and the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that NorthWestern has a price to earning of 17.32 X, we recommend you to check NorthWestern market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NorthWestern Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NorthWestern has 2.79 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is OK given its current industry classification. NorthWestern has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for NorthWestern to invest in growth at high rates of return.
NorthWestern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of NorthWestern shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of September 2024 NorthWestern paid $ 0.65 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Dana Dykhouse of 3750 shares of NorthWestern at 59.34 subject to Rule 16b-3

NorthWestern Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NorthWestern's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NorthWestern's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NorthWestern daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NorthWestern price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NorthWestern returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NorthWestern.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-2.04
Potential Upside
1.58
Standard Deviation
1.06
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NorthWestern historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NorthWestern Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
1.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
M
Systematic Financial Management Lp2024-06-30
957.2 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-06-30
933.7 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
891.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
849.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
848.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
847.8 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
812.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
9.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.8 M
Note, although NorthWestern's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NorthWestern Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.1M)(7.1M)(19.6M)(26.7M)(7.2M)(6.8M)
Change In Cash(3.2M)5.0M1.7M3.7M2.7M2.9M
Free Cash Flow(19.3M)(53.6M)(214.4M)(207.9M)(77.7M)(73.8M)
Other Non Cash Items165.8M(2.0M)(5.8M)181.3M(12.5M)(11.8M)
Dividends Paid115.1M120.4M128.5M140.1M154.1M161.8M
Capital Expenditures316M405.8M434.3M515.1M566.9M595.2M
Net Income202.1M155.2M186.8M183.0M194.1M203.8M
End Period Cash Flow12.1M17.1M18.8M22.5M25.2M15.2M
Depreciation5.9M179.7M187.4M5.3M210.8M221.3M
Change Receivables19.9M(5.0M)(824K)(46.3M)(41.7M)(39.6M)
Net Borrowings129.9M180.4M150.0M75.8M68.2M98.6M
Change To Netincome(19.6M)12.5M(5.3M)(24.2M)(21.8M)(20.7M)
Investments(135K)(42K)(1.5M)(516.9M)(540.6M)(567.6M)

NorthWestern Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NorthWestern or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NorthWestern's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NorthWestern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.0065

NorthWestern Volatility Alert

NorthWestern has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.43 and kurtosis of 0.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NorthWestern's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NorthWestern's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NorthWestern Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NorthWestern's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NorthWestern's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NorthWestern and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NorthWestern or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NorthWestern's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NorthWestern by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NorthWestern to competition
FundamentalsNorthWesternPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0816-0.31
Return On Asset0.0273-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.38 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding61.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.52 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.67 M4.71 M
Price To Earning17.32 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.21 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.28 X11.42 X
Revenue1.42 B9.43 B
Gross Profit764.4 M27.38 B
EBITDA507.36 M3.9 B
Net Income194.13 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents9.07 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.79 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.76 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share45.94 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations489.23 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.60 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.71 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.92 X4.89 X
Target Price58.0
Number Of Employees1.57 K18.84 K
Beta0.49-0.15
Market Capitalization3.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.6 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings811.5 M9.33 B
Working Capital(127.89 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Jan Horsfall of 2750 shares of NorthWestern at 59.34 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NorthWestern Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NorthWestern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NorthWestern Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NorthWestern? Buying financial instruments such as NorthWestern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NorthWestern in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Railroads Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Railroads Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether NorthWestern is a strong investment it is important to analyze NorthWestern's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NorthWestern's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NorthWestern Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out NorthWestern Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade NorthWestern Stock refer to our How to Trade NorthWestern Stock guide.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NorthWestern. If investors know NorthWestern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NorthWestern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.583
Dividend Share
2.59
Earnings Share
3.71
Revenue Per Share
24.421
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.075
The market value of NorthWestern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NorthWestern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NorthWestern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NorthWestern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NorthWestern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NorthWestern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NorthWestern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NorthWestern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NorthWestern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.